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Orlando City SC (14-7-8) welcomes Inter Miami (9-4-15) to Exploria Stadium Sunday. Kickoff is set for 7:30 p.m. ET. Below, we preview BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Orlando City SC vs. Inter Miami odds, and make our best expert MLS picks and predictions.
Orlando City is 7-4-3 at home this season. Its strength has been in its offense, averaging 1.55 goals per game. It has scored 45 and allowed 36 through 29 matches. Orlando City is coming off a 2-0 loss to NYCFC Wednesday, but it had won its 5 previous games and has lost just 4 times since the start of March. Orlando City’s attack is led by F Facundo Torres, who has scored 12 goals in 26 matches.
Inter Miami is 4-1-1 and has won the league cup since it added F Lionel Messi. It still currently sits 2nd-last in the East yet is coming off a 4-0 home win over Toronto FC. Miami is 3-1-10 on the road this season, but it has won 2 of 3 road games since bringing in Messi. F Leonardo Campana leads Inter in scoring with 9 goals in 23 games.
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Orlando City SC vs. Inter Miami odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:51 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Orlando City SC -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | Inter Miami +300 (bet $100 to win $300) | Draw +280
- Over/Under: 3.5 (O: +137 | U: -195)
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Orlando City SC vs. Inter Miami picks and predictions
Prediction
Orlando City SC 2, Inter Miami 2
Moneyline (ML)
SPRINKLE DRAW (+280).
In the Messi era, when Inter has gone on the road, both teams’ expected goals have ended within 0.5. Miami has been able to keep games close on the road, and it has won 2 of 3 away matches with Messi on the roster, including a 3-1 win over LAFC on Sept. 3. Messi missed last weekend’s match against Atlanta and played limited minutes in the team’s 4-0 midweek win. He should be rested for this match.
While Orlando City is 2-1-1 over its last 4, it has had more than 1.1 expected goals in just 1 of those 4. Its offense has struggled as of late, and against Miami, it may need to find its rhythm. Orlando City has had as many or fewer expected goals in 4 straight games.
Expect a close match and back DRAW (+280).
Over/Under (O/U)
BET OVER 3.5 (+137).
Orlando City has gone Over this total in 5 of its last 10 games and has scored at least 3 goals in 4 of its last 10. It has an elite attack, and Inter, while they are competent offensively will Messi, still has issues defensively and should struggle to contain the home side.
Inter has scored 2 or more in 4 straight games and has gone Over this total in all 4. They have allowed 2 goals per game over their last 4 and 2.3 goals per game over their 3.
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