The Oregon Ducks remain the heavy favorite to win the Pac-12 according to ESPN’s FPI.
The Ducks, 5-0 on the season own the sixth-best FPI in the country, three spots ahead of the Washington Huskies, the only other Pac-12 program within the top 10. While Washington is also in the top 10, the Ducks’ chances to win the conference are at nearly 50%, sitting at 47.8%. Their chances of making the College Football Playoffs are similar at 40%.
This weekend will be a pivotal matchup in the Pac-12 race with the Oregon Ducks and Washington Huskies meeting in Seattle. The winner of the matchup between the top 10 programs will allow one program to gain the inside track to get to the Pac-12 title game. ESPN’s matchup predictor gives Oregon a 54.8% chance to win on Saturday.
The Southern California Trojans sit at No. 3 in the conference and 13th nationally but own just a 19.6% chance to win the conference. Lincoln Riley’s program has narrowly avoided being upset in each of the last two weeks. Oregon State, Utah, and UCLA all have chances above 1% according to the model to win the conference.
Here’s how ESPN’s FPI views the rest of the Pac-12’s programs entering week seven of the season.
| RANK | TEAM | W-L | CONF W-L | FPI | WIN CONF. % | MAKE PLAYOFF % |
| No. 1 | Oregon | 5-0 | 2-0 | 24.0 (6) | 47.8% | 40.0% |
| No. 2 | Washington | 5-0 | 2-0 | 20.3 (9) | 25.7% | 22.1% |
| No. 3 | USC | 5-0 | 4-0 | 17.7 (13) | 19.6% | 9.3% |
| No. 4 | Oregon State | 4-1 | 2-1 | 13.2 (20) | 4.4% | 0.7% |
| No. 5 | Utah | 4-1 | 1-1 | 10.1 (26) | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| No. 6 | UCLA | 3-1 | 1-1 | 8.9 (30) | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| No.7 | Washington State | 4-0 | 1-1 | 5.7 (41) | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| No. 8 | California | 3-2 | 1-2 | 4.0 (46) | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| No. 9 | Arizona | 3-2 | 1-2 | 3.9 (47) | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| No. 10 | Colorado | 3-2 | 1-2 | -0.1 (64) | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| No. 11 | Arizona State | 1-4 | 0-3 | -7.1 (98) | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| No. 12 | Stanford | 1-4 | 0-3 | -10.1 (105) | 0.0% | 0.0% |