The No. 8 Ole Miss Rebels (9-2, 5-2 SEC) visit the Mississippi State Bulldogs (7-4, 4-3) for the 116th Egg Bowl Thursday at 7:30 p.m. ET at Davis Wade Stadium in Starkville, Mississippi. Below, we look at the Ole Miss vs. Mississippi State odds and lines, and make our expert college football picks, predictions and bets.
Ole Miss clocked a 31-17 victory over Vanderbilt Saturday and has won three consecutive games. QB Matt Corral logged his fourth 300-yard passing game of the season in a contest that saw the Rebels open a 24-6 lead by the late minutes of the first half. Corral leads an Ole Miss offense which ranks 20th nationally in passing and eighth in rushing.
The Bulldogs have won two straight and four of their last five. On Saturday, Mississippi State dispatched Tennessee State 55-10 in a non-conference affair in Starkville.
QB Will Rogers threw for 391 yards and five touchdowns. Rogers has piled up 11 TD passes over the last two weeks and 34 for the season. MSU’s pass offense (390.2 yards per game) ranks third in FBS.
Rankings courtesy of the AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.
Ole Miss at Mississippi State odds, spread and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 1:01 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Ole Miss +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Mississippi State -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Ole Miss +1.5 (-110) | Mississippi State -1.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 64.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Ole Miss at Mississippi State odds, lines, picks and predictions
Prediction
Mississippi State 28, Ole Miss 24
Money line
The Rebels won last year’s meeting 31-24, and they lead the all-time rivalry series 63-46-6.
MSU went just 3-of-13 on third downs in the 2020 meeting. This year’s squad excels in staying on schedule, and the Bulldogs have a legitimate shot to win on home turf.
But PASS on the money line and look to leverage the drained juice against the number.
Against the spread
The Bulldogs come into this game having covered five in a row, and they are 4-1 ATS over the last five Egg Bowls.
Over the last three seasons, Ole Miss is just 2-6 ATS after winning back-to-back games straight up.
MSU has already logged impressive home wins over NC State and Kentucky. With the Bulldogs allowing just 3.3 yards per carry, their run defense can put them over the top in what figures to be a close battle Thanksgiving night.
TAKE MISSISSIPPI STATE -1.5 (-110).
Over/Under
Both sides trend more toward the Under in SEC play. The Under has hit in four straight Egg Bowl battles and in five in a row in Starkville.
Expect a lot of throwing but most of it in the pass-as-a-run vein. TAKE THE UNDER 64.5 (-115).
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