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The Memphis Tigers (9-3) welcome the No. 16 Ole Miss Rebels (11-1) to FedExForum Saturday. Tip is set for 2 p.m. ET (ESPN2). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college basketball odds around the Ole Miss vs. Memphis odds, and make our expert college basketball picks and predictions.
Ole Miss, which is No. 16 in the USA TODAY Sports Men’s Basketball Coaches Poll, enters on a 6-game win streak. The Rebels beat the Queens University Royals 80-62 at home Dec. 21, closing as a 27.5-point favorites. It was the second straight game Ole Miss failed to cover in, yet it is 7-2 against the spread (ATS) in its last 9 games and 8-4 ATS on the season.
The Tigers, who were ranked 22nd in the week prior before losing 79-66 as 1.5-point home underdogs to the Mississippi State Bulldogs Dec. 21. While the Tigers covered in their first 6 games of the season, they have failed to cover in 5 of their last 6 and have lost their last 2 home games outright. Memphis is 7-5 ATS on the season.
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Ole Miss at Memphis odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college basketball odds Lines last updated at 2:59 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Ole Miss +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Memphis -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Ole Miss +1.5 (-110) | Memphis -1.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 152.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Ole Miss at Memphis picks and predictions
Prediction
Ole Miss 76, Memphis 73
Moneyline
PASS.
While the spread and moneyline have similar value, this game should be a close one, so taking the underdog on the spread instead of the slightly enhanced moneyline value is the better play.
Against the spread
BET OLE MISS +1.5 (-110).
The Rebels have had a game close with a single-digit spread 4 times, and they are 4-0 ATS in those, scoring at least 78 in all 4. Ole Miss has its top 5 scoring options all eclipsing 45% from the field, so the offensive efficiency is there to keep that streak alive.
The Tigers have failed to cover in 2 straight games and are 2-3 ATS as a home favorites. Their offense has run out of steam, scoring 66 or fewer in 2 straight games. Considering those trends, BACK OLE MISS +1.5 (-110).
Over/Under
BET UNDER 152.5 (-110).
The Tigers are averaging 65 points per game over their last 2 and have scored 76 or fewer in 4 of their last 6 games. They are 3-3 O/U in those 6. Memphis has given up 71 or fewer in 3 of those 6 as well.
As for Ole Miss, it has gone Under in 5 straight games, and its defense has been the main reason for that. It has allowed 63 or fewer in all 5. The Rebels are 0-1 O/U on the road.
Back UNDER 152.5 (-110).
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