Oklahoma win probabilities based off revised 2020 football schedule

OU announced its revised schedule for the 2020 season on Wednesday, featuring a rearranged conference slate. 

OU announced its revised schedule for the 2020 season on Wednesday, featuring a rearranged conference slate.

The figure below depicts the new schedule, along with win probabilities for each game.

Texas remains by far OU’s toughest matchup, clocking in at a 61.8% win probability for the Sooners. It is the only game on OU’s schedule with a win probability below 70%.

OU’s chance to go undefeated remains at 14.05% despite the changes, but that doesn’t mean their schedule will play out identically. Perhaps the most significant change was Bedlam’s departure from the unusual Oct. 24 date in favor of a more typical Nov. 21st.

The full Big 12 schedule model can be viewed below.

Notably, OU received bye games before their matchups with TCU and Oklahoma State. Both will also be coming off byes in those matchups.

OU’s schedule has now been given quite the makeover since its initial unveiling. Besides dropping games against Tennessee and Army, OU’s entire conference slate looks completely different.

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