The Oklahoma City Thunder (20-48) visit AT&T Center Wednesday to take on the San Antonio Spurs (26-43). Tip-off is scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Thunder vs. Spurs odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.
The Spurs are coming off a 149-139 home loss against the Timberwolves, failing to cover as 3.5-point underdogs. San Antonio has struggled to cover lately and is 2-6 against the spread (ATS) over its last 8.
San Antonio is 10-6 ATS as a home favorite, the fifth-best covering rate in the league. The Spurs are led by G Dejounte Murray who is averaging 20.8 points and 9.4 assists per game.
As for Oklahoma City, it is 22-11 ATS as a road underdog which is the second-best covering record. Only the Heat (11-5 ATS) cover at a higher rate in that situation. The Thunder are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games.
OKC’s G Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is questionable. Since his Feb. 24 return he’s averaged 30.4 points and 7.4 assists per game so wait to bet until his status is officially announced.
Thunder at Spurs odds, spread and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:01 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Thunder +700 (bet $100 to win $700) | Spurs -1200 (bet $1200 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Thunder +13.5 (-110) | Spurs -13.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 231.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)
Thunder at Spurs key injuries
Thunder
- G Lu Dort (shoulder) out
- G Josh Giddey (hip) out
- G Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (ankle) questionable
Spurs
- SF Doug McDermott (ankle) out
- SF Keita Bates-Diop (back) out
[tipico]
Thunder at Spurs odds, lines, picks and predictions
Prediction
Spurs 120, Thunder 108
Money line
PASS.
The Thunder are just too short-handed to predict an upset, and at -1200 the Spurs have absolutely no value as they’re just 13-22 straight up at home this season.
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Against the spread
LEAN to the THUNDER +13.5 (-110).
This is uncharted territory for the Spurs. While they were 10-point favorites once against Detroit and covered, they’ve yet to be more than 10-point favorites this season.
They’re just 26-43 straight up and 34-34-1 ATS. As for the Thunder, they’re still among the best covering teams in the NBA at 39-25-4 ATS. That said, the line clearly has considered SGA potentially missing this game.
That will give more opportunity for players like F Darius Bazley and G Theo Maledon to show their ability to score.
Despite their injuries, the Thunder do rank 16th in defensive rating, so it’s possible they slow down a high-pace Spurs team. OKC also ranks 12th in turnover rate.
It’s certainly a lean, but I like the Thunder to at least test San Antonio at home.
Over/Under
BET on the UNDER 231.5 (-108).
This is more a knock on the Thunder than anything else.
Unless SGA is a surprise play (an ankle injury for a non-contending team in mid-March seems to be prime time to get your star rest), the Thunder will be down their 3 leading scorers.
While Bazley and Maledon may be able to score some, this team getting to 110 seems unlikely. They’ll have to control the game defensively and with their slower pace.
The Spurs rank No. 2 in turnover rate and No. 4 in pace.
Both teams have been hitting the Over recently, but the Thunder are 31-35-2 O/U this season and just won’t have the firepower to get into a high-scoring battle with the Spurs down SGA.
The Thunder already rank last in shooting efficiency, so it’s doubtful they find much success offensively.
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