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The Oklahoma City Thunder (37-9) and the Golden State Warriors (23-23) meet Wednesday at Chase Center. Tip-off is scheduled for 10 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Thunder vs. Warriors odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Tied 1-1; road team has won each head-to-head meeting
Oklahoma City beat Golden State 105-101 as a 4-point road favorite Nov. 27, pushing at most shops as the Under (224.5) cashed. Golden State posted a 127-116 win as a 6.5-point underdog over the Thunder Nov. 10 with the Over (228.5) cashing in Oklahoma City. Oklahoma City has won 4 of the past 5 in the series, although Golden State is 2-0-1 against the spread (ATS) in the past 3 meetings. The Over is 9-1 in the past 10 meetings.
The Thunder posted a 118-108 win in Portland last time out Sunday, but they failed to cover as a 13.5-point favorite, slipping to 0-3 ATS in the past 3 games and 1-4 ATS in the past 5 outings. The Over is on a 3-0-1 run for the Thunder, while going 8-1-1 across the past 10 games since Jan. 8.
For the Warriors, they topped the visiting Utah Jazz 114-103 Tuesday as 10.5-point favorites for the narrow cover as the Under (221.5) hit. Golden State is 2-3 straight up (SU) in the past 5 games, while going 3-1 ATS in the past 4 outings. The Over is 3-1 in the past 4 games and 5-2 across the previous 7 contests.
Thunder at Warriors odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Thunder -450 (bet $450 to win $100) | Warriors +340 (bet $100 to win $340)
- Against the spread: Thunder -10.5 (-105) | Warriors +10.5 (-115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 227.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Thunder at Warriors key injuries
Thunder
- None
Warriors
(Not yet submitted — below was for Tuesday’s game)
- G Stephen Curry (knee) out
- F Draymond Green (calf) out
- F Jonathan Kuminga (ankle) out
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
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Thunder at Warriors picks and predictions
Prediction
Thunder 119, Warriors 106
Moneyline
The Thunder (-450) will cost you nearly 5 times your potential return, and there is never a reason to bet such a heavy favorite like that. Over the long term, it’s a losing betting strategy.
As far as the Warriors (+340) are concerned, they’re too risky given the fact that Curry carries a questionable tag into this game, while Green and Kuminga are sidelined.
For Golden State to win outright, it would need all hands on deck.
PASS.
Against the spread
The THUNDER -10.5 (-105) are worth a look to get it done by double digits, even on the road.
Oklahoma City has failed to cover the past 3 games, but it is still 10-5 ATS in the past 15 games and 18-6-1 ATS in the past 25 outings dating back to Dec. 3.
The Warriors +10.5 (-115) have covered 3 of the past 4 games, but they are 0-5 SU/ATS in the past 5 as home underdogs.
Over/Under
UNDER 227.5 (-115) is the lean, but go with a half-unit play at best.
The Under cashed in Golden State’s win over Utah Tuesday night, halting a 3-0 Over run. The Under is 5-2 in 7 games this season when the Warriors are playing on no rest.
For the Thunder, the Over has dominated lately. But, the Under is 1-0-1 in the past 2 games on the road.
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