Oklahoma City Thunder at Golden State Warriors odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Oklahoma City Thunder at Golden State Warriors odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Oklahoma City Thunder (13-4) match up against the Golden State Warriors (12-5) Wednesday at Chase Center. Tip-off is set for 10 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Thunder vs. Warriors odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Warriors lead 1-0.

OKC dethroned the Sacramento Kings with a 130-109 road win Monday as 3.5-point favorites. G Shai Gilgeous-Alexander held it down with 37 points and 11 assists, while G Jalen Williams added 28 points. The Thunder have won 2 straight and are 6-4 over the last 10 as they deal with some significant absences.

The Dubs have dropped 2 straight after a 128-120 clunker as 13-point home favorites against the Brooklyn Nets Monday. G Stephen Curry did all he could with 28 points on 8-for-16 from distance. They just lacked a presence in the paint with F Jonathan Kuminga (illness) out.

Key afternoon injury update: Curry is listed as out for Wednesday night.

Thunder at Warriors odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NBA odds. Lines last updated at 3:56 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Thunder -190 (bet $190 to win $100) | Warriors +155 (bet $100 to win $155)
  • Against the spread: Thunder -4.5 (-105) | Warriors +4.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 226.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Thunder at Warriors key injuries

Thunder

  • G Alex Caruso (hip) out
  • C Chet Holmgren (hip) out
  • F Jalen Williams (hamstring) out

Warriors

  • G Stephen Curry (knee) out
  • F Jonathan Kuminga (illness) questionable
  • G De’Anthony Melton (knee) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Thunder at Warriors picks and predictions

Prediction

Thunder 121, Warriors 113

Moneyline

I like the Thunder (-190) here. They’re playing a little better than the Warriors (+155). Playing at Chase Center is no longer a “gimme” for OKC, but I prefer the spread over the -190 ML.

Instead, take Thunder C ISAIAH HARTENSTEIN OVER 25.5 POINTS+REBOUNDS+ASSISTS (-105). His last two games lines are as follows: 19 points, 10 boards and 4 assists; 13 points, 14 boards and 3 assists.

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Against the spread

BET THUNDER -4.5 (-110). The Warriors beat the Thunder 127-116 in OKC Nov. 10 — Golden State was a 6.5-point underdog and the Over (228.5) cashed. However, the Thunder had won 3 straight vs. the Warriors before that loss — including 2 at Chase.

Over/Under

The Over is 9-1 in the last 10 meetings between these teams. OKC is 11th at 115.2 points per game; Golden State is 6th at 117.7. They are 5th and 6th in pace, respectively.

This is a hittable number. TAKE OVER 226.5 (-110).

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