The TCU Horned Frogs (3-0, 0-0 Big 12) welcome the Oklahoma Sooners (3-1, 0-1) to Amon G. Carter Stadium Saturday. Kickoff is set for noon ET (ABC). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Oklahoma vs. TCU odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
The Horned Frogs are undefeated although their resume doesn’t include any impressive wins — most notably taking down SMU 42-34 last weekend. They’re one of just 21 undefeated FBS teams remaining.
TCU is led by senior QB Max Duggan who has stepped his game up this season, throwing for 8 touchdowns and 0 interceptions. The combination of Duggan and RB Kendre Miller has led the 9th-highest scoring offense in the nation.
Oklahoma is coming off its first loss of the season after being inside the nation’s top 10. The Sooners lost to Kansas State who is led by former Nebraska standout QB Adrian Martinez.
Other than that defeat, OU has dominated with impressive wins over Kent State, UTEP and Nebraska. The home team will be led by former UCF starting QB Dillon Gabriel. He has 11 touchdowns and no picks.
Oklahoma is No. 16 in the AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.
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Oklahoma at TCU odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 2:15 p.m. ET.
- Money line (ML): Oklahoma -210 (bet $210 to win $100) | TCU +175 (bet $100 to win $175)
- Against the spread (ATS): Oklahoma -5.5 (-110) | TCU +5.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 69.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Oklahoma at TCU picks and predictions
Prediction
TCU 38, Oklahoma 35
Money line
SPRINKLE TCU (+175).
Simply put — it’s not enough to go on the road and win.
Ask Ohio State against Michigan last year or even Alabama against Texas just a few weeks ago. Kansas State did it, but that might have been more about the maturity of Martinez than anything else.
While Gabriel has been great, it is concerning how this defense played last weekend, giving up 41 points to KSU. They gave up over 250 yards on the ground.
TCU averaged the 10th-most rushing yards per game at 233. The Horned Frogs are going to put it on the ground and force OU to stop them, which it showed it couldn’t do last week.
With this value and the weak OU rush defense, I’ll sprinkle on the TCU money line.
Against the spread
BET TCU +5.5 (-110).
This should be a close game, especially being against a conference opponent.
With OU having a dynamic offense and TCU potentially being able to exploit OU’s biggest weakness, the Horned Frogs should be able to keep it close.
Over/Under
LEAN OVER 69.5 (-110).
I usually don’t love betting overs, but it’s the right side here.
OU has scored more than 30 points in every game his season, and TCU has a quarterback that limits turnovers and also has shown he can put together lengthy scoring drives.
Considering OU is allowing 157 rushing yards per game and that’s the strength of the TCU attack, I expect the home side to be able to put points on the board.
Similarly, Gabriel has been terrific and has a career-high 175.9 QB rating. With TCU having allowed 34 points to SMU, OU should be able to get loose offensively.
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