The Oakland Athletics (3-9) and Baltimore Orioles (6-6) meet Thursday to close out a 4-gamer series. First pitch from Oriole Park at Camden Yards is slated for 1:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Athletics vs. Orioles odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Baltimore leads 2-1
Oakland took Wednesday’s game 8-4 after being outscored 17-9 Monday and Tuesday. The Athletics had scored just 28 R their first 10 games but have plated 16 in the last 2 days.
The Orioles have struggled defensively and on the mound; only 4 clubs have a higher team ERA than Baltimore’s 5.37 mark.
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Athletics at Orioles projected starters
RHP Adam Oller vs. LHP Cole Irvin
Oller (0-0, 4.66 ERA) is tabbed for his 1st start of the season. He has a 1.35 WHIP, 4.7 BB/9 and 5.6 K/9 through 9 2/3 IP over 2 relief appearances.
- Logged a 6.68 ERA across 14 games as a starter in his 2022 rookie season but posted a 4.79 ERA over his last 7 starts
- Allowed 1 R on 2 H and 3 BB with 3 K across 5 IP in his last appearance against the Tampa Bay Rays on April 7
Irvin (0-2, 9.35 ERA) is making his 3rd start. He has a 2.08 WHIP, 6.2 BB/9 and 9.3 K/9 through 8 2/3 IP.
- Has pitched around a .407 batting average on balls in play (BABIP)
- Draws an easier foe after seeing the Boston Red Sox (5.67 runs per game) and New York Yankees (5.08 runs per game) in his first 2 starts
Athletics at Orioles odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:12 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Athletics +185 (bet $100 to win $185) | Orioles -225 (bet $225 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Athletics +2.5 (-130) | Orioles -2.5 (+105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 10 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Athletics at Orioles picks and predictions
Prediction
Orioles 6, Athletics 3
Moneyline
Neither bullpen has been any great shakes so far (Baltimore 4.20 ERA, Oakland 5.66 ERA), but the Orioles relievers have been hurt by a .326 BABIP.
The home nine has the edge on the mound — both starter and bullpen — and at the plate. The Athletics are just 1-5 on the road and this is a get-away day for them as they travel to Oakland after this game.
Peg the O’s as a 70% proposition, perhaps plus a point or 2. The current tag is a fair one, -220 or better brings good leverage into play. That takes a certain bankroll level for most players. Consider a play on the run line.
Run line/Against the spread
The spread here brings some risk into play but the Orioles are worth the risk. Baltimore is 4-2 over its last 6 games against Oakland, and 4 wins have been by 3 or more runs.
On a warmed-up day in Baltimore — with a light breeze blowing out to right field — TAKE THE ORIOLES -2.5 (+105).
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Over/Under
Weather and A’s pitching says Over. Baltimore pitching says Under. We should say PASS.
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