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The Oakland A’s (19-26) and Houston Astros (18-25) wrap up a 4-game series at Minute Maid Park Thursday. First pitch is set for 8:10 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the A’s vs. Astros odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Astros lead 3-0
The Astros, who have won 4 straight, have closed as favorites in all 3 games this series, covering the run line in 2 of them. Houston has won 6 of its last 7 games and covered 5 times over that span. It is 18-24 against the spread (ATS) this season. The Astros are 10-12 at home.
The A’s have lost 4 straight games and 6 of their last 7. Oakland is still 24-21 ATS on the season despite covering in just 2 its last 7 games. It lost 3-0 Wednesday, 2-1 Tuesday and 9-2 Monday. The A’s are 9-13 straight up on the road this season.
A’s at Astros projected starters
RHP Joey Estes vs. RHP Cristian Javier
Estes (1-0, 1.80 ERA) makes his 2nd start. The rookie allowed 1 ER on 2 hits and 0 walks with 5 K’s in his season debut, an 8-1 win at the Seattle Mariners Saturday.
- Oakland is 1-2 in his 3 career starts
- Has never faced Houston before
Javier (2-1, 4.01 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.42 WHIP, 5.5 BB/9 and 6.6 K/9 in 24 2/3 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 1 1/3 IP, 7 ER, 5 H, 4 BB, 0 K in 8-2 road loss to Detroit Tigers Saturday
- 2024 home splits: 2-0, 1.00 ERA (18 IP, 2 ER), 10 H, 1 HR, 8 BB, 14 K in 3 starts
- Career vs. A’s: 3-4, 4.36 ERA (53 2/3 IP, 26 ER), 1.23 WHIP, 10.1 K/9 in 10 starts and 3 relief appearances, including 1-1 with a 2.53 ERA (10 2/3 IP, 3 ER) in 2 starts last season
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A’s at Astros odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:55 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): A’s +176 (bet $100 to win $176) | Astros -210 (bet $210 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread: A’s +1.5 (-115) | Astros -1.5 (-104)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -104 | U: -118)
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A’s at Astros picks and predictions
Prediction
Astros 4, A’s 3
Moneyline
PASS.
There’s no good value on the moneyline. The A’s offense has been absent, and there’s no reason to think they’ll bounce back enough to avoid a sweep. At -210, the home favorite isn’t worth a play either.
Run line/Against the spread
BET A’S +1.5 (-115).
The A’s have covered well this season and are 12-10 ATS on the season as a road underdog. They are 22-18 ATS as an underdog and 14-11 ATS after a loss.
While Oakland’s offense has struggled, it has allowed just 5 runs in its last 2 games which has allowed, and it is facing a pitcher, who is coming off his worst start of the season. The Astros are 5-5 ATS in their last 10 games and are 18-24 ATS on the season.
Considering the season-long trends, back A’S +1.5 (-115).
Over/Under
LEAN UNDER 9 (-118).
The Astros have gone Under in 4 of their last 7 games and are 15-25-2 O/U on the season. Houston has scored Under 5 runs in 4 of its last 7 games. It is 2-3 O/U in Javier’s 5 starts.
Oakland has gone Under in 2 straight and is 22-21-2 O/U on the season. It has scored 4 or fewer in 5 of its last 6 games. With that in mind, back UNDER 9 (-118).
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