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The 11th-ranked Notre Dame Fighting Irish (6-1) and 24th-ranked Navy Midshipmen (6-0) meet Saturday at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford. Kickoff is scheduled for noon ET (ABC / ESPN+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college football odds around the Notre Dame vs. Navy odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
The Fighting Irish have rebounded from a stunning early-season loss to unranked Northern Illinois, rattling off 5 consecutive wins, including a 31-13 victory against Georgia Tech last weekend at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta as a 14-point favorite. The Irish have covered 3 in a row, while the Over has cashed in 2 of the past 3.
Notre Dame has scored 28 or more points in each contest of its 5-game win streak, while allowing 16 or fewer in all but 1 of its 7 games.
The Midshipmen have scored 34 or more points in all 6 games, and it is on a 5-game cover streak, going 5-0 ATS this season against FBS opponents. The Over has cashed in all 6 games, too.
Notre Dame has dominated this series, leading 80-13-1, while also vacating 2 victories. Last season, in Dublin, Ireland, the Irish routed the Middies 42-3 Aug. 26, 2023. Notre Dame has won 6 in a row in the series, with Navy’s last win coming Nov. 5, 2016, in a 28-27 win in Jacksonville.
The last time these teams met in East Rutherford, Navy came away with a 35-17 win Oct. 23, 2010.
– US LBM Coaches Poll: Conducted by the American Football Coaches Association and USA TODAY Sports
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Notre Dame vs. Navy odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college football odds. Lines last updated Friday at 6:40 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Notre Dame -500 (bet $500 to win $100) | Navy +375 (bet $100 to win $375)
- Against the spread: Notre Dame -13.5 (-115) | Navy +13.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 50.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Notre Dame vs. Navy picks and predictions
Prediction
Notre Dame 27, Navy 20
Moneyline
Notre Dame (-500) will cost you 5 times your potential return, and that’s too expensive for either a standalone bet or to including the Irish in a multi-leg parlay. There is just no value here.
The Navy (+375) defense is a little suspect, and while it obviously has a tremendously powerful rushing offense, the Irish defense allows just 279.0 total yards, 165.9 passing yards and 113.1 rushing yards with 11.9 points per game. The Middies will not be able to run the ball at will like they have to date.
AVOID.
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Against the spread
Take NAVY +13.5 (-110), as this team is special. While it prefers not to pass, it has the ability to be somewhat effective, if need be. That is what will keep the Middies in this game by at least 2 scores.
Notre Dame -13.5 (-110) enters on a 3-game cover streak and 5-game win streak, but this is a team which lost to Northern Illinois, and that can’t be forgotten. It struggles in the pass game, and if it is too run-heavy, that could be a problem.
Over/Under
UNDER 50.5 (-105) is the lean in this neutral-site rivalry game, but go lightly. Go with a half-unit play at most.
Navy has cashed high in all 6 games to date, so it takes a bit of a leap of faith to go low. Hold your breath.
The Under is 2-1 in the past 3 meetings in this series, and there is a slight 4-3 edge to the Under in the previous 7 battles.
Notre Dame hit the Under last week in its only previous neutral-site game this season, and the total has gone low at a slight 4-3 advantage for the Irish.
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