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North Carolina vs. NC State fearless prediction and game preview.
North Carolina vs. NC State Broadcast
Date: Saturday, November 30
Game Time: 7:00 ET
Live Stream: fuboTV (click to watch for free)
Venue: Carter-Finley Stadium, Raleigh, NC
Network: ACC Network
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North Carolina (5-6) vs. NC State (4-7) Game Preview
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Why North Carolina Will Win
NC State is bad at college football.
The defense isn’t taking the ball away – just seven turnovers on the year – the passing attack is painfully inefficient, and the team is on a five-game losing streak with its best win of the season over … Ball State.
The only time the Wolfpack secondary has had any success this year was against teams that spent the whole time running the ball, and even Georgia Tech ended up throwing three touchdown passes in last week’s 28-26 game.
North Carolina’s passing game isn’t consistent and it’s not always sharp, but it’s effective enough to put up big numbers when Sam Howell gets on a roll. When the thing is working, he’s able to connect on big plays and stretch the field enough to keep the pressure on.
Howell has thrown three touchdown passes or more in five of the last six games. NC State has allowed three touchdown passes ore more in each of its last five games.
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Why NC State Will Win
NC State has the most problems with the teams that run well. That’s not really North Carolina.
The Tar Heels have been effective at times – 4-0 this year when running for over 200 yards – but that’s now how their bread is baked. They’ve run or nine touchdowns on the season, and five of them came last week against Mercer – they didn’t run or a score in the previous four games.
NC State has enough of a pass rush to get to Howell on a regular basis, and overall, the run defense hasn’t been all that miserable. The D should be just good enough to keep the team in the game as long as the offense can keep up the pace.
North Carolina is just sloppy enough and mistake-prone enough to not run away with this.
What’s Going To Happen
NC State will make it a fight in a rivalry game at home, but that will last only so long. The offense won’t be consistent enough and the passing game won’t be strong enough to come through on the late drives needed to pull this off.
North Carolina likes to play close, tight games, and this one won’t be any different.
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North Carolina vs. NC State Prediction, Line
North Carolina 30, NC State 24
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North Carolina -10, o/u: 55
Live Stream: fuboTV (click to watch for free)
ATS Confidence out of 5: 3
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Must See Rating: 3
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