North Carolina at Duke odds, picks and predictions

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The No. 7 North Carolina Tar Heels (24-6, 16-3 ACC) take on the No. 8 Duke Blue Devils (24-6, 15-4) Saturday at Cameron Indoor Stadium. Tip is set for 6:30 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the North Carolina vs. Duke odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.

UNC, No. 7 in the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll, has won 5 straight after an 84-51 haymaker to the Notre Dame Fighting Irish Tuesday. G RJ Davis had 22 points and 6 assists. F Armando Bacot had 14 points and was 2-for-2 from behind the arc. Bacot had a huge game in the 93-84 home win over Duke Feb. 3 with 25 points, 10 boards and 5 assists.

Duke, No. 8 in the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll, has only lost twice in the last 13 games. It covered as a 6-point favorite in a 79-64 victory over NC State Monday. G Jeremy Roach had 21 points but shot just 1-for-7 from deep. He is just 1-for-11 (9.1%) from behind the arc in his last 2 games.

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North Carolina at Duke odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 9:05 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): North Carolina +160 (bet $100 to win $160) | Duke -194 (bet $194 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): North Carolina +4.5 (-110) | Duke -4.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 150.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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North Carolina at Duke picks and predictions

Prediction

North Carolina 76, Duke 72

Moneyline

Duke is 15-2 at home, but UNC has won 3 of the last 4 meetings at Cameron. C Kyle Filipowski hasn’t been the same since the infamous knee injury after the loss to Wake Forest. He has been held below double figures in 3 of the 6 games since then. Roach is struggling from deep, and the Tar Heels are really humming right now.

Take NORTH CAROLINA +160.

Against the spread

Even if UNC can’t get it done, I still like it to cover this spread. UNC is 6-4 ATS in the last 10 meetings with Duke. UNC covered in the 9-point victory at its house as a 5-point favorite.

Take NORTH CAROLINA +4.5 (-110).

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Over/Under

Duke is just 2-8 O/U over the last 10 games while UNC is 4-6. They take it to another level when facing one another, though, as the Over is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings. After 177 points in the 1st meeting, this OVER 150.5 (-110) looks like easy money.

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