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In a 3-round bantamweight bout on the main card, Raul Rosas Jr. and Terrence Mitchell meet at Noche UFC — also known as UFC Fight Night 227 and UFC on ESPN+ 85 — on Saturday at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook‘s lines around the Noche UFC: Rosas Jr. vs. Mitchell odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.
Records: Rosas Jr. (7-1-0) | Mitchell (14-3-0)
The prelims can be viewed on ESPN+ at 7 p.m. ET and the main card starts at 10 p.m. ET on ESPN+.
Rosas Jr., a.k.a. “El Niño Problema”, is an 18-year-old prospect who is already fighting in his 3rd UFC fight. He posted a 1st-round submission against Jay Perrin at UFC 282 in Dec. 2022 but lost via unanimous decision against Christian Rodriguez last time out at UFC 287 in April.
Mitchell is 33 years old, but he actually has one fewer UFC fight than Rosas Jr. That fight was a 1st-round KO/TKO loss against Cameron Saaiman at UFC 290 in July. Mitchell has a 7-inch reach advantage over the teen.
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Noche UFC: Rosas Jr. vs. Mitchell odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:44 a.m. ET.
- Fight result (2-way line): Rosas Jr. -770 (bet $770 to win $100) | Mitchell +540 (bet $100 to win $540)
- Over/Under: 1.5 rounds (Over +205 | Under -280)
- Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +640 | No -1100)
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Noche UFC: Rosas Jr. vs. Mitchell picks and predictions
Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)
Rosas Jr. (-770) will cost you more than 7 1/2 times your potential return, and that’s just too expensive if you want to back the teen phenom.
Instead, consider getting a little more specific. Take a look at METHOD OF VICTORY: ROSAS JR. BY SUBMISSION (-175) because despite that Holland is pretty solid on the canvas, and he is a perfect 6-0 via submission in his career as a professional, Rosas is special on the ground. He has 7 victories in 8 career bouts as a pro, with 5 of those victories coming via submission. His specialty is the armbar and rear-naked choke.
Over/Under (O/U)
No (-1100): Will the fight go the distance? is way too risky, costing 11 times your potential return. There is no way we can advise playing such a prop with a steep price tag.
Even Under 1.5 Rounds (-280) will cost you nearly 3 times your potential return. Consider the SUBMISSION ROUND COMBOS: ROSAS JR. TO WIN BY SUBMISSION IN ROUNDS 1 OR 2 (-155), as that isn’t priced out of line.
Visit MMA Junkie for more fight news and analysis.
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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