The Los Angeles Dodgers and the San Diego Padres meet in Game 3 of an NL Division Series at Petco Park Friday. First pitch of the best-of-5 series is scheduled for 8:37 p.m. ET (FOX Sports 1). Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Dodgers vs. Padres odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Playoff series: Tied 1-1
The Dodgers won 14 of the 19 regular-season meetings, but the Padres don’t care about that. San Diego went to Dodger Stadium, a place it traditionally hasn’t played well, and gained the split to seize home-field advantage in this NLDS.
The Dodgers won Game 1 by a 5-3 count, and the Padres returned the favor in Game 2 by an identical score. The Over cashed last time out after a push at most shops in the series opener.
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Dodgers at Padres projected starters
RHP Tony Gonsolin vs. LHP Blake Snell
Gonsolin (16-1, 2.14 ERA) had a 0.87 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.2 K/9 through 130 1/3 IP in 24 regular-season starts.
- Is a perfect 7-0 with a 2.66 ERA with a .187 opponent batting average with 64 K across 64 1/3 IP in 12 road outings
- Went 2-0 with a 0.71 ERA with 14 K and a .156 opponent BA across 12 2/3 IP in 2 starts against San Diego this season
Snell (8-10, 3.38 ERA) made 24 regular-season starts. He had a 1.20 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 12.0 K/9 through 128 IP.
- Was a dismal 4-8 with a 3.56 ERA with 108 K across 81 IP in 15 home outings
- Managed an 0-1 record, 3.86 ERA and 10 BB with 23 K across 14 IP in 3 starts vs. L.A. Dodgers this season
Dodgers at Padres odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:01 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Dodgers -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Padres +102 (bet $100 to win $102)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Dodgers -1.5 (+135) | Padres +1.5 (-175)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: +105 | U: -130)
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Dodgers at Padres picks and predictions
Prediction
Dodgers 3, Padres 1
Moneyline
The DODGERS (-125) coughed up home-field advantage in Game 2, but it will wrestle it right back after Gonsolin pitches them back ahead in the series.
The right-hander has been untouchable, and he dominated the Padres (+102) this season, while Snell didn’t do very well at home. L.A. moves back ahead here.
Run line/Against the spread
DODGERS -1.5 (+135) is worth playing lightly. Each team has won by a 5-3 score in the first 2 games in this series, so why get away from what has been working. Los Angeles has won 5 of the last 7 meetings dating back to the regular season, and it has won all but 1 of those games by 2 or more runs.
Over/Under
UNDER 7.5 (-130) is a strong play with Gonsolin on the hill. The only concern is whether or not Snell can put it together and hold the Dodgers offense somewhat in check. The Under is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings, although, again, the Over is 1-0-1 in this NLDS so far.
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