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The New York Mets and LA Dodgers meet Sunday in Game 6 of the best-of-7 NLCS. First pitch from Dodger Stadium is set for 8:08 p.m. ET (FS1). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Mets vs. Dodgers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Playoff series: Dodgers lead 3-2; LA won regular-season series 4-2
Facing elimination, the Mets roared back with a dominant performance Friday in Game 5. Their offense, which had managed just 9 total runs in the 1st 4 games, erupted for a dozen runs to win 12-6. 1B Pete Alonso led the way, going 2-for-3 with a 3-run HR and 4 runs scored. RF Starling Marte had a huge day as well, going 4-for-5 with 3 doubles and 3 RBIs.
The Dodgers had a rough Game 5 as starter Jack Flaherty (3 IP, 8 ER, 8 H, 4 BB, 0 K) and reliever Brent Honeywell (4 2/3 IP, 4 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 0 K) were torched by the Mets. CF Andy Pages went 3-for-4 with 2 HR and 4 RBIs while RF Mookie Betts added a solo HR.
Mets at Dodgers projected starters
LHP Sean Manaea vs. Undecided
Manaea (12-6, 3.47 ERA) made 32 starts in the regular season. He had a 1.08 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 in 181 2/3 IP.
- Last start: Win, 5 IP, 3 ER, 2 H, 4 BB, 7 K in 7-3 victory at the Dodgers Monday in Game 2 of NLCS
- 2024 postseason stats: 2-0, 2.65 ERA (17 IP, 5 ER), 1.00 WHIP, 9.0 K/9 in 3 starts
- 2024 regular-season road stats: 6-3, 3.17 ERA (88 IP, 31 ER), 1.19 WHIP, 8.2 K/9 in 16 starts
- Career vs. Dodgers: 2-5, 6.75 ERA (52 IP, 39 ER), 1.48 WHIP, 8.5 K/9 in 12 appearances (9 starts) including the postseason
At publishing, the Dodgers had not named a starter and manager Dave Roberts said it will be “all hands on deck.” RHP Ryan Brasier, who has started the Dodgers’ 2 postseason bullpen games, is an option as is LHP Anthony Banda.
- Brasier regular-season stats: 1-0, 3.54 ERA (28 IP, 11 ER), 0.962 WHIP, 8.0 K/9 in 29 games (4 starts)
- Banda regular-season stats: 3-2, 3.08 ERA (49 2/3 IP, 17 ER), 1.24 WHIP, 9.1 K/9 in 48 games (2 starts)
Mets at Dodgers odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 1:29 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Mets +120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Dodgers -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets +1.5 (-185) | Dodgers -1.5 (+150)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -120 | U: +100)
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Dodgers at Mets picks and predictions
Prediction
Mets 7, Dodgers 3
Moneyline
Backing the Mets on the moneyline looks like a solid bet, largely thanks to their momentum and the performance of Manaea, who has been New York’s most reliable arm this postseason, allowing just 5 ER across 3 starts.
Meanwhile, the Mets’ offense found its stride in Game 5 after a slow start in the NLCS. While the Dodgers will turn to their strong bullpen, with a 3.53 ERA this season, New York’s recent surge gives them the edge. Momentum can make all the difference in October, and the Mets have it right now.
BET METS (+120).
Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
I’ll keep my bet to the moneyline with the better odds.
Over/Under
Betting the Over in Game 6 between the Mets and Dodgers is a strong play. All 5 games in this series have surpassed the total, and the Over is 9-1 in their matchups this season. The Mets were red-hot in the divisional round, hitting .269, and even with a slight dip, they’re still batting .253 in the NLCS. With New York’s offense likely to challenge the Dodgers’ bullpen, expect another high-scoring game.
TAKE THE OVER 8 (-120).
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