How many games will the Atlanta Falcons win in the 2020 NFL season? We look at BetMGM‘s projected win total and the Over/Under odds, while looking back at the 2019 season and key offseason roster changes.
Atlanta Falcons’ 2019 season
The Falcons finished 7-9 straight-up (SU), 8-8 against the spread (ATS) and 7-9 vs. the Over/Under (O/U), but it was really a tale of two seasons. They started out with a rash of injuries, and were 1-7 SU with a 2-6 ATS record through the first eight contests. In the second half they turned things around, saving the job of head coach Dan Quinn. They went 6-2 SU and 6-2 ATS across the final eight games, including a 4-0 SU/ATS run to close out the campaign.
Atlanta Falcons’ 2020 offseason changes
The Falcons added a few skill position players, with RB Todd Gurley the most notable addition. WR Laquon Treadwell will also be trying to resurrect his career in the Dirty South. Meanwhile, RB Devonta Freeman, CB Desmond Trufant, TE Luke Stocker and OT Ty Sambrailo were cut, while RB Kenjon Barner, DE Vic Beasley, DE Adrian Clayborn, WR Justin Hardy and TE Austin Hooper were lost to free agency.
The team added CB A.J. Terrell (Clemson) in the first round of the 2020 NFL Draft, DT Marlon Davidson (Auburn) in the second round, OL Matt Hennessy (Temple) in the third, LB Mykal Walker (Fresno State) and S Jaylinn Hawkins (California) in the fourth and P Sterling Hofrichter (Syracuse) in the seventh.
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Atlanta Falcons’ 2020 opponents
HOME (*-NFC South Division game)
Carolina Panthers-*, New Orleans Saints-*, Tampa Bay Buccaneers-*, Chicago Bears, Detroit Lions, Denver Broncos, Las Vegas Raiders, Seattle Seahawks
AWAY
Panthers-*, Saints-*, Buccaneers-*, Dallas Cowboys, Green Bay Packers, Kansas City Chiefs, Los Angeles Chargers, Minnesota Vikings
Atlanta Falcons’ 2020 win total: Best bet
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Odds last updated Friday, May 1 at 4:35 a.m. ET.
Projected wins: 7.5 / OVER: -125 / UNDER: +105
The Falcons looked like a playoff team in the second half in 2019, and definitely have the skill position players and stiff defense to win plenty of games in 2020. However, the Falcons face a murderer’s row in terms of opponents, the Buccaneers made huge improvements during the offseason to get better, and the Saints will be a juggernaut again. The Falcons might have an easier time with the Panthers inside the division, but the non-division schedule is brutal for the Falcons. It will be close, but the best play is to go UNDER 7.5 (+105).
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