The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (9-5) travel to meet the Detroit Lions (5-9) for a Week 16 matchup at Ford Field kicking off at 1 p.m. ET. Below, we give you five player/team prop bets to consider from the BetMGM game menu.
Also see: Buccaneers at Lions odds, picks and best bets
Detroit Lions Week 16 prop bet predictions
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:00 a.m. ET.
OVER 10.5 total points – 1st quarter (+105)
Plus-money on this prop is a great play. The Lions were outscored 14-7 after 15 minutes last week in Nashville against the Titans, and they have been outscored 50-27 in the first quarter across the past five games. That’s a total of 15.4 points per game during the span, which would more than push you across the finish line to cash on this prop.
WR Marvin Jones Jr. anytime touchdown (+110)
If the Lions find the end zone, Jones is likely to be on the receiving end of a scoring strike from QB Matthew Stafford. He had 112 yards and a touchdown on 10 receptions last week, targeted 12 times at Tennessee in a 46-25 loss. He has also found the end zone twice in the past three games, and six times across the past eight outings. If anyone in Honolulu Blue and Silver is doing a touchdown dance in the end zone, it’s likely going to be Jones.
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QB Matthew Stafford UNDER 1.5 passing TDs (-105)
Stafford has been dealing with an assortment of injuries, including a rib ailment and an issue with his right thumb. While he has gutted it out to play, he hasn’t been particularly sharp. Yes, his completion percentage is over 67.3 in each of the past four outings, but it’s been mostly short and intermediate routes. He has at least one touchdown in four straight, but just one multi-score game, a 34-30 win at Chicago, during the span. He has thrown for one or no touchdowns in seven of his past 10 contests, too.
PK Matt Prater UNDER 6.5 points (-110)
Prater enters this game with a questionable tag due to a back injury. However, all indications are that the 36-year-old will try to gut it out and play Saturday afternoon. That’s good if you’re a prop bettor, as he has six or fewer points in each of his past five outings, averaging just 4.0 points per game during the stretch. He has also eclipsed seven or more points just once in the previous five games at Ford Field.
RB D’Andre Swift UNDER 44.5 rushing yards (+100)
Playing this prop at even money is a good value. First off, Tampa Bay ranks No. 1 in the NFL in rushing defense with just 77.8 yards per game allowed. And, secondly, you have to expect that the Lions are going to be using an aerial-based offense for a good chunk of this game as they likely fall behind early. Swift scored twice last week, so a rookie wall isn’t a concern at this point, but the Lions’ offense is just atrocious. He has hit Under 44.5 rushing yards in four of his past eight full outings and seven of 11 overall.
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