NFL Prop Bet Payday: Week 16 player predictions

Assessing the Week 16 NFL matchups and highlighting the best player prop bets to make based on the odds at BetMGM.

Christmas has come and gone, and you already want the relatives out of your house so can enjoy a long weekend of football. Here are five prop bets for Sunday that should help ease some of the pain of holiday overspending and send you to the pay window.

NFL Week 16 prop bet payday

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:45 a.m. ET.

Taylor Made

The Steelers have been in freefall after starting 11-0 and losing three straight. Much of the problems have been pinned to an ineffective, one-dimensional offense, which has led to Pittsburgh’s defense being on the field much more than it should. Indy RB Jonathan Taylor has an Over/Under for rushing yards of 54.5 (-105 Over, -115 Under). Pittsburgh has one of the best run defenses in the league, but, over his last four games, Taylor has rushed 71 times for 414 yards. It won’t be a cake walk, but TAKE THE OVER AT -105.

Also see: Colts will be without both OTs against NFL’s best pass rush

Elementary My Dear Watson

The Texans are playing to the Bengals, who are coming off one of their best games of the season with a win over Pittsburgh. DeShaun Watson has an Over/Under for passing yards of 275.5 (-105 Over, -115 Under).. The Bengals aren’t going to the playoffs (everyone else in their division probably will), but their defense isn’t as ratty at their record would indicate and Watspm doesn’t have his full complement of weapons. TAKE THE UNDER at -115.

Also see: What is the key for Texans WR Keke Coutee to see more playing time? Protect the ball

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Ball ‘Hawk

Chris Carson has been battling a foot injury, but he is clearly Seattle’s No. 1 rushing threat. Against a Rams defense that has strong front, his Over/Under for rushing yards is a pedestrian 49.5 (-110 Over, -110 Under). The Rams are going to be looking to attack Russell Wilson to keep him in the pocket, which will lead to less blitzing and more positioning. All Carson needs to do is pop one run for 15-20 yards, and he will hit this number. TAKE THE OVER at -110.

Also see: Seahawks activate TE Greg Olsen, DT Bryan Mone off injured reserve

There’s Gold in the Red Zone

The Kansas City Chiefs can lock down the No. 1 seed in the AFC and earn a first-round bye against Atlanta’s brutal defense. All eyes will be on Patrick Mahomes and Tyreek Hill, but tight end Travis Kelce is breaking records of his own. To bet on Kelce scoring a touchdown, you have to bet -165. Kelce has scored touchdowns in each of his last three games and four of his last five. It’s not a stretch to think the Chiefs will score four or five touchdowns in this game. How can they do that without T.K. getting at least one of them,? TAKE KELCE TO SCORE A TOUCHDOWN at -165.

Also see: Breaking down Chiefs’ RB options with Clyde Edwards-Helaire sidelined

Revenge Not Always Best Served Cold

Last season, Melvin Gordon was humbled by holding out for a long-term contract with the Chargers and was rebuffed – reporting back with his tail between his legs and being allowed to walk in free agency. He’s back in L.A. to face the Chargers as a member of the Broncos, and there is a belief that he could have a big day with an Over/Under for rushing yards of 73.5 (-110 Over, -110 Under). While there is something to be said about revenge plays, the Chargers know their former teammate all to well and will commit to bottling him up and forcing Drew Lock to beat them. Welcome home, Mel! TAKE THE UNDER at -110.

Also see: Broncos place Phillip Lindsay on IR, update injury report for Week 16

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