4. Miami at Buffalo
LINE Buffalo -13.5
ATS PICK Buffalo
Ugh … I can’t believe I’m falling for the narrative.
How do you win in the long run as a sports investor? You push past the bullspit being slung that cranks a line out of whack – like 13.5 against any NFL team – and you groove on the value.
Yes, I know. 2022 me screamed that you always take the NFL double-digit dog. I’ll get back there soon.
It’s not even about Damar Hamlin. The Bills were able to get through the home game against the Patriots in the first game back from that horror-turned-inspiration story. I absolutely don’t mean for this to be as crassly calculating as it sounds – the Bills sure seem like they needed to get that first game back out of the way, and now they can just play football.
More than that, they got the 2022 NFL regular season out of the way.
On the field – up until Hamlin’s situation – this has been all about getting here. Buffalo is 2020 Ohio State – with that program’s desperate need to exorcise the Clemson demon from the tough Fiesta Bowl loss the year before – with a single-minded obsession to right the wrong.
The Bills want Kansas City, but Miami is in the way.
I’m not ready to go 47-17 like the Bills did against the Patriots at home in last year’s Wild Card, but … eh, maybe.
Miami will need at least 30 to hang around with this Buffalo offense. With Skylar Thompson under center, it’ll get to 20. Buffalo will get at least 14 more.
Yeah, I’m buying in that Buffalo is about to put that No. 2 scoring offense to good use.
CFN Experts Picks: Dolphins at Bills