1. Dallas at Tampa Bay
LINE Dallas -2.5
ATS PICK Dallas
There are two ways to look at this.
Dallas has been a playoff gag-fest over the last several years, and that Tom Brady guy slinging it around is still pretty good.
But there’s a reason the line is only -2.5, and that’s why there’s a completely opposite angle …
Dallas has been a playoff gag-fest over the last several years, and that Tom Brady guy slinging it around is still pretty good.
The line should be Dallas -8.5, but it’s not because Dallas has been a playoff gag-fe … you get the idea.
The Cowboys were hardly sharp over the final third of the season, and yet – throw out that Washington game in Week 18 – they won six of seven with the lone loss coming at Jacksonville on a brilliant comeback engineered by Trevor Lawrence.
Tampa Bay? It needed everything in the bag to push past Carolina two weeks ago. It needed overtime to pile on the Arizona Cardinal pity party, got doornailed by San Francisco, struggled to get by the Saints, lost to the Browns, and …
(Shhhhhhh … Tampa Bay doesn’t score.)
The Bucs have only pushed past 23 points twice. Dallas has only scored fewer than that five times.
Yeah, yeah, yeah, Week 1 Tampa Bay 19, Dallas 3. Seattle is the only other playoff team it beat … yippee.
There’s no Tampa Bay running game whatsoever. The Dallas offensive balance will be terrific, the defense will make up for Dak’s two turnovers with three takeaways, and all that mess about how bad everything has been in the playoffs – and whether or not Mike McCarthy will be fired – will be gone by the third quarter.
I think.
It’s Dallas in the playoffs and 12 at home.
I still like the Cowboys in this.
CFN Experts Picks: Cowboys at Buccaneers
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Expert Picks
Seahawks at 49ers | Chargers at Jaguars
Dolphins at Bills | Giants at Vikings
Ravens at Bengals | Cowboys at Buccaneers