NFL analytics expert predicts Commanders’ win total for 2023

Who wins more in 2023: The Commanders or the Giants?

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How many games will the Washington Commanders win in 2023?

Head coach Ron Rivera is entering his fourth season as head coach of Washington. Rivera has a lot of pressure to win in 2023 with new ownership in place this summer. Additionally, Rivera has yet to win more than eight games during his three seasons with the Commanders.

Washington was in contention for a playoff spot last season, but a late collapse in December kept the Commanders home, while the rest of the NFC East held three of the four spots in the divisional round of the playoffs.

Cynthia Frelund is an analytics expert for NFL.com and recently used her formula to predict win totals for all 32 teams in 2023. As expected, Frelund is high on the Philadelphia Eagles to repeat as NFC East winners, with the Dallas Cowboys finishing in second place and earning a wild card.

Here are Frelund’s projected win totals for all four NFC East teams:

  • Eagles: 11.1
  • Cowboys: 9.6
  • Giants: 7.9
  • Commanders: 6.6

Frelund was complimentary of Washington’s wide receivers, calling the group one of the best in the NFL. She is high on Washington’s defense, saying if quarterback Sam Howell can give the Commanders a lead, Frelund believes Jonathan Allen, Daron Payne, Montez Sweat, and the rest of Washington’s front can succeed in getting to the opposing quarterback.

So much depends on Howell. If he delivers, you can bet the over on Frelund’s win projections for the Commanders.