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The New York Yankees (52-31) and Toronto Blue Jays (37-43) meet Friday as they continue a 4-game series. The 1st pitch at Rogers Centre will be at 7:07 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. Blue Jays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Blue Jays lead 4-3
New York was blasted 9-2 in Thursday’s series opener and has lost 4 straight games. The Yankees have allowed 9-plus runs in each of their last 3 games. Over their last 10, New York is 2-8 and has been outscored 87-41.
Over its previous 8 games, Toronto pitching had filed a 5.27 ERA, but on Thursday, 3 Blue Jays hurlers combined to allow just 3 hits.
Yankees at Blue Jays projected starters
RHP Marcus Stroman vs. LHP Yusei Kikuchi
Stroman (7-3, 3.15 ERA) is lined up for his 17th start. He has a 1.26 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 6.6 K/9 in 91 1/3 IP.
- Last outing: Win, 6 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 3 H, 2 BB, 6 K in 8-3 win vs. Atlanta Braves Saturday
- Career vs. Blue Jays: 0-0, 1.65 ERA (16 1/3 IP, 3 ER), 12 H, 5 BB, 9 K in 3 starts
Kikuchi (4-7, 4 ERA) is making his 17th start. He has a 1.33 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 9.3 K/9 in 83 1/3 IP.
- Last outing: Loss, 2 IP, 4 ER, 8 H, 1 BB, 3 K in 6-5 loss at Cleveland Guardians Saturday
- Career vs. Yankees: 5-3, 3.08 ERA (64 1/3 IP, 22 ER), 53 H, 25 BB, 65 K in 14 games (12 starts)
- Owns a 6.04 ERA across 5 June starts
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Yankees at Blue Jays odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:41 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Yankees -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Blue Jays +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (+140) | Blue Jays +1.5 (-165)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Yankees at Blue Jays picks and predictions
Prediction
Blue Jays 6, Yankees 4
Moneyline
New York is 1-4 in its last 5 games at Toronto and 9-12 vs. lefty starters.
Toronto’s southpaw in this one, Kikuchi, has been done in by a .336 batting average on balls in play (.391 BABIP in June). His mound opposite, Stroman, has surface numbers buoyed by a .245 BABIP. And per ESPN, current Toronto batters own an aggregate .799 OPS against the Yankee right-hander.
The Blue Jays have been hurt by an 8-14 mark in 1-run games. While they do not figure as a great ballclub, they are likely being overlooked by much of the betting public. With the bad mojo the Yankees are dragging around, this contest should probably be a near-pick-em. FanDuel Sportsbook lists plus-money return on the home team, and that’s the leverage play here.
BACK THE BLUE JAYS (+104).
Run line/Against the spread
Better value can be found on the Toronto ML play. PASS.
Over/Under
The Over is 5-1 across the last 6 series meetings.
Toronto has scored 29 runs over its last 4 games and should have some confidence in going against a pitcher the club has hit well. New York pitching could well get this game 70% of the way to the listed total.
The Rogers Centre roof should be open Friday night, and a batter’s breeze is in the forecast. A total reaching double digits is likely enough to make the OVER 8.5 (-105) — as listed on FanDuel Sportsbook — worth a partial-unit play.
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