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The New York Yankees (12-4) take on the Toronto Blue Jays (8-8) Monday in the opener of a 3-game set at Rogers Centre at 7:07 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. Blue Jays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Yankees lead 2-1
The Yanks dropped the finale in Cleveland as the Guardians won 8-7 in 10 innings Sunday. SS Anthony Volpe continued his hot hitting with 3 hits. He’s hitting .382 with 2 homers and 8 RBIs and a 1.041 OPS. Volpe has been the spark atop the lineup and should keep OF Juan Soto in the RBI leader discussion.
The Jays took 2 of 3 from the Colorado Rockies over the weekend after a 5-0 win Sunday. RHP Jose Berrios was fantastic, navigating through some 1st-inning traffic to throw 7 shutout innings with 7 K’s and just 2 hits allowed. 3B Justin Turner had 3 RBIs, and he’s hitting .386 with a 1.095 OPS this season.
Yankees at Blue Jays projected starters
RHP Luis Gil vs. RHP Chris Bassitt
Gil (0-0, 3.00 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 1.11 WHIP, 7.0 BB/9 and 14.0 K/9 through 9 IP.
- Last start: No-decision, 4 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 2 H, 4 BB, 8 K against Toronto Blue Jays April 7
- 2 career starts vs. Blue Jays: 0-0, 5.87 ERA, 1.83 WHIP, 14 K in 7 2/3 IP
Bassitt (1-2, 5.06 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 1.81 WHIP, 5.1 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 in 16 IP
- Last start: Win, 6 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 4 BB, 8 K against Seattle Mariners Tuesday
- 3 career GS vs. Yankees: 1-0, 0.87 ERA, 0.87 WHIP, 26 K in 20 2/3 IP
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Yankees at Blue Jays odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:50 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Yankees -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Blue Jays -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (+150) | Blue Jays +1.5 (-185)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)
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Yankees at Blue Jays picks and predictions
Prediction
Blue Jays 7, Yankees 5
Moneyline
The Yankees have looked good — probably the best they have started a season in a few years. Their issue is going to be with Gil unable to throw strikes. He has 7 walks in 9 IP thus far, and he walked 11 in his 2 starts against Toronto previously. The Jays have scored 5+ in 4 of 6 and will make those free passes count.
Take the BLUE JAYS -115.
Run line/Against the spread
We’re projecting a multi-run win for Toronto, but the Yankees are already 8-2 on the road. So we’ll give them that respect and look elsewhere.
I like LUIS GIL UNDER 15.5 OUTS (-145). His issues with walks have kept him at 4 1/3 and 4 2/3 IP in his 2 starts, and the Blue Jays are the 9th-best at taking walks thus far.
Over/Under
Speaking of walks, Bassitt has also been a little erratic with 7 walks in his last 2 starts and 2+ in each of his 3. The Yankees are 5-5 O/U, and the Jays are 3-7. Two of the 3 meetings this season went Over and had 11+ runs. With the amount of free passes in today’s forecast, I’ll take the OVER 8.5 (-120).
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