New York Yankees at Toronto Blue Jays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s New York Yankees at Toronto Blue Jays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Yankees (79-77) and the Toronto Blue Jays (87-69) begin a 3-game series Tuesday at Rogers Centre. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. Blue Jays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 5-5

The Yankees were eliminated from the Wild Card chase Sunday in a 7-1 loss to the Arizona Diamondbacks, and New York is just 2 games over .500 in a season of major disappointment, injuries and poor performance. New York did pick up 2 wins in 3 games against the Snakes, dealing them a setback in their quest for a postseason spot.

The Blue Jays picked up 2 wins in a 3-game series against the Tampa Bay Rays in St. Petersburg, moving 1 1/2 clear of the Houston Astros for the 2nd AL Wild Card spot. Toronto, Houston and the Seattle Mariners are battling for the final 2 postseason spots in the final week of regular-season play.

Yankees at Blue Jays projected starters

RHP Michael King vs. RHP Kevin Gausman

King (4-7, 2.66 ERA) makes his 8th start and 48th overall appearance. He has a 1.12 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 11.5 K/9 in 94 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 7 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 0 BB, 13 K in 6-1 home loss vs. the Toronto Blue Jays last Wednesday
  • 2023 road splits: 2-3, 3 SV, 2.05 ERA (48 1/3 IP, 11 ER), 3 HR, .200 OBA in 4 starts and 18 relief appearances

Gausman (12-9, 3.29 ERA) makes his 31st start. He has a 1.20 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 11.7 K/9 in 178 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 3 BB, 10 K in 6-1 road win vs. the New York Yankees last Wednesday
  • 2023 home splits: 7-5, 3.27 ERA (85 1/3 IP, 31 ER), 9 HR, .239 OBA in 15 starts

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Yankees at Blue Jays odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:54 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Yankees +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Blue Jays -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees +1.5 (-160) | Blue Jays -1.5 (+135)
  • Over/Under (O/U):  7 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Yankees at Blue Jays picks and predictions

Prediction

Blue Jays 3, Yankees 2

Moneyline

The BLUE JAYS (-160) are a solid play as moderate favorites, but it won’t be as easy as Toronto would prefer.

King pitched well for the Yankees (+135) last time out, as he whiffed a career-high 13 batters in his most recent start, which just happened to be against the Jays. Gausman struck out a dozen on the other side in that game.

Run line/Against the spread

The YANKEES +1.5 (-160) aren’t priced out of line if you can’t pick New York straight up, but you would like a little bit of insurance.

Again, King racked up plenty of strikeouts, and he turned in a quality start in a head-to-head matchup with Gausman last Wednesday. This should be a game too close for comfort, as far as the Jays are concerned. I expect them to win, but the Yankees are going to give them a run for their money, even if they are eliminated already.

Over/Under

The UNDER 7 (+100) is a super low number, but it’s worth a look. Gausman hasn’t allowed much at home this season. And the last time King and Gausman went against each other 6 days ago, both of these hurlers went deep into the game, turning in quality starts in a well-pitched game. This is worth playing lightly.

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