New York Yankees at Toronto Blue Jays odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s New York Yankees at Toronto Blue Jays odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The New York Yankees (90-67) and Toronto Blue Jays (87-70) continue their three-game AL East series Wednesday. First pitch from Rogers Centre is scheduled for 7:07 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Yankees vs. Blue Jays odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Gerritt Cole is the scheduled starting pitcher for the Yankees. He is 16-8 with a 3.08 ERA, 1.04 WHIP, 12.2 K/9, and 2.1 BB/9 over 175 1/3 IP across 29 starts.

  • Has notched a 4.61 ERA over his last five starts, but that figure has come alongside some high BABIP and home run/fly ball rates.
  • Owns a 2.74 ERA over 23 innings spanning four starts against Toronto this season.
  • Current Blue Jays bats own a .617 OPS and .141 isolated power against him.

RHP Jose Berrios is the scheduled starter for the Blue Jays. He is 12-9 with a 3.48 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, 9.5 K/9, and 2.2 BB/9 over 186 IP through 31 starts this season.

  • Has not allowed more than 3 ER or pitched fewer than 6 innings in a start since Aug. 24. Owns a 2.70 ERA, 0.82 WHIP and 10.3 K/9 over that stretch.
  • Owns a 3.06 ERA and 0.93 over his last six turns at Rogers Centre.
  • Has held current Yankee batters to an aggregate .709 OPS.

Yankees at Blue Jays odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 8:58 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Yankees -117 (bet $117 to win $100) | Blue Jays -103 (bet $103 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Yankees -1.5 (+135) | Blue Jays +1.5 (-170)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)

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Prediction

Yankees 4, Blue Jays 3

Money line (ML)

The Yankees took Tuesday’s opener and have won seven straight games. Heading into the series, New York had notched an .829 OPS over its last 17 games. The Yanks are 21-10 over their last 31 road games after Tuesday’s triumph.

Toronto is just 6-7 over its last 13 contests. However, the Blue Jays have fared well at home (21-11 last 32 games) and are 10-7 against the Yankees this season.

The second game of this series spells near-toss-up without much betting leverage either way, but peg Cole as being slightly undervalued and the YANKEES (-117) being the better play.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS on the juicier run-line prices.

Over/Under (O/U)

The Under hit last night and is 13-5 across the last 18 meetings between the Jays and Yanks.

Both bullpens have been better than recent surface numbers suggest,  and the Cole-Berrios matchup more likely produces a six-run game than a 12-run slugfest. BACK THE UNDER 8.5 (-125).

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