The New York Yankees (89-67) and Toronto Blue Jays (87-69) tangle in the opener of a crucial three-game AL East series Tuesday. First pitch from Rogers Centre is scheduled for 7:07 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Yankees vs. Blue Jays odds with MLB picks and predictions.
RHP Jameson Taillon is the scheduled starting pitcher for the Yankees. He is 8-6 with a 4.41 ERA, 1.22 WHIP, 8.8 K/9, and 2.7 BB/9 over 138 2/3 IP across 27 starts.
- Comes off the injured list (IL) after being sidelined since Sept. 9 with the right ankle tendon injury. Pitched 3 innings in a rehab start at Triple-A Scranton/Wilkes-Barre, and will likely be limited in his return.
- Owns a Boeing ERA (7.01) over his last five starts.
- Current Toronto batters own an aggregate .954 OPS against him.
LHP Hyun Jin Ryu is the scheduled starter for the Blue Jays. He is 13-9 with a 4.34 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, 7.5 K/9, and 2.0 BB/9 over 159 2/3 IP through 29 starts.
- Coming off the IL (neck strain) for this turn. Allowed 5 runs over 2 innings against the Minnesota Twins in his last outing Sept. 17.
- Owns a 10.07 ERA across his last 19 2/3 IP over five starts.
- Has held current Yankee batters to a .643 OPS and has a 1.88 ERA and 0.92 WHIP through 24 IP versus New York this season.
Yankees at Blue Jays odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:06 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Yankees +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Blue Jays -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Yankees +1.5 (-190) | Blue Jays -1.5 (+155)
- Over/Under: 9.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)
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Prediction
Blue Jays 5, Yankees 3
Money line (ML)
The Yankees have had an up-and-down September, but they ride into Tuesday on a six-game win streak and off a sweep of the Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park. New York has registered an .829 OPS over its last 17 games and is 20-10 over its last 30 road games.
The Blue Jays come into Tuesday off back-to-back victories at Minnesota, but Toronto is just 6-6 over its last dozen games. It’s been a key stretch of late: the Red Sox, Yankees, and Blue Jays all head into their last six games separated by two games in the AL Wild Card chase.
The run line offers better value here: PASS.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
The Blue Jays are 10-6 against the Yankees this season. Ryu has had the shorter layoff and has a solid line against New York. A couple of high-pitch-count innings early for Taillon could get New York into an ugly corner of its bullpen.
So Toronto is the lean, but a conservative partial-unit play is suggested with both starters returning from injury.
BACK THE BLUE JAYS -1.5 (+155).
Over/Under (O/U)
The Under has held sway for both teams in recent games and is 12-5 across the last 17 meetings between the Jays and Yanks.
As much as both starters are stamina question marks, both bullpens have been better than recent surface numbers suggest. The total here is generous. BACK THE UNDER 9.5 (-125).
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