The New York Yankees (15-11) and Texas Rangers (14-11) continue their 4-game series Friday in Arlington. First pitch from Globe Life Field is slated for 8:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. Rangers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Yankees lead 1-0
New York hit 3 home runs and won Thursday’s series opener 4-2. The Yankees had not clubbed multiple homers in a game since April 15. New York is averaging just 4.31 runs per game (RPG), which ranks 20th in MLB.
Texas has lost 4 games in a row. The Rangers had averaged 8.44 RPG from April 16-25 but have scored just 5 runs over the last 2 games.
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Yankees at Rangers projected starters
RHP Clarke Schmidt vs. RHP Jacob deGrom
Schmidt (0-2, 6.30 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.55 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 10.8 K/9 through 20 IP.
- Facing a left-leaning Texas lineup, and that’s a problem. Has coughed up a .965 OPS vs. lefty bats in his career (.606 OPS vs. right-handed batters).
- Was held to 4 IP or fewer in his 1st 4 starts this season
DeGrom (2-0, 3.04 ERA) is tabbed for his 6th start of the season. He has a 0.79 WHIP, 1.0 BB/9 and 14.5 K/9 through 26 2/3 IP.
- Has not faced the Yankees since 2018
- Owns a 1.57 ERA and 0.65 WHIP over his last 4 starts
Yankees at Rangers odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:13 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Yankees +190 (bet $100 to win $190) | Rangers -230 (bet $230 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees +1.5 (-114) | Rangers -1.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7 (O: -106 | U: -114)
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Yankees at Rangers picks and predictions
Prediction
Rangers 4, Yankees 2
Moneyline
No lean either way: PASS.
Run line/Against the spread
With a low total and the Under being a likable play, the Yankees +1.5 (-114) is the play at which to look. There is some risk with lefties getting to Schmidt early, but it’s a theoretical lean anyway. That side gets downgraded, though, by injuries to DH Giancarlo Stanton (IL, hamstring) and OF Aaron Judge (day-to-day, hip) and the Rangers cranking out softball numbers is not too far in the rearview mirror.
PASS.
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Over/Under
The Under is 5-2 in the Yankees’ last 7 games, and it’s 13-3 across the last 16 New York-Texas contests.
With deGrom being one of the mound particulars, the total here is a low one. Figure Schmidt as being undervalued for what he can bring to the table. He’s been undone by a .345 batting average on balls in play.
A high-quality Yankee bullpen is well-rested, and the visiting nine will be without the services of Stanton and maybe Judge as well.
The price here is fair: BACK THE UNDER 7 (-114).
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