New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The New York Yankees (50-17) and Tampa Bay Rays (36-31) continue their 3-game AL East series at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Fla., with a Tuesday game at 7:10 p.m. ET first pitch. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Yankees vs. Rays odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: New York leads 6-2.

The surging Yankees won Monday’s opener 4-2. New York headed into this series ranked 1st in MLB in runs (5.15 per game) and runs allowed (2.98).

The Rays are 2-8 in their last 10. They have 5 losses by 1 run in that stretch and have been hampered by injuries and a faltering offense (.609 OPS since May 26).

Yankees at Rays projected starters

LHP Nestor Cortes vs. LHP Josh Fleming

Cortes (6-2, 1.94 ERA) is tabbed for his 13th start. He has a 0.93 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 9.7 K/9 in 69 2/3 IP.

  • Has allowed more than 1 run just once in his last 4 starts.
  • Owns a 1.96 ERA across four 2021-22 starts against Tampa.

Fleming (2-3, 6.38 ERA) has appeared in 6 games (2 starts). He has a 1.96 WHIP, 4.4 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 in 18 1/3 IP.

  • Expected to be called up from AAA to make what marks his first MLB action since May 6.
  • Gets a lot of ground balls (60.6% rate) and holds hard contact in check, but has been undone by a  .391 batting average on balls in play.

Yankees at Rays odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 12:42 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Yankees -180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Rays +145 (bet $145 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL): Yankees -1.5 (+100) | Rays +1.5 (-120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)

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Yankees at Rays picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 5, Rays 4

Money line

PASS. A Tampa lean is washed out by the juice here.

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Run line/Against the spread

The Rays have played a lot of close games of late, and Cortes and a due-for-some-normalized performance Yankees pen look to be overpriced.

Consider a partial-unit play on TAMPA BAY +1.5 (-120).

Over/Under

Both lineups are at their best against left-handed pitching. New York’s bullpen could run into some back-end fatigue. And Cortes is a fine pitcher but one who is operating downwind with a .246 BABIP and some hard-to-repeat high-leverage numbers.

TAKE THE OVER 7.5 (+100).

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