New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Yankees (26-15) and Tampa Bay Rays (20-20) meet for the finale of a 3-game series Sunday. First pitch from Tropicana Field is set for 1:40 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. Rays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: New York leads 3-2

Tampa Bay routed New York 7-2 while covering as a -102 home favorite in Saturday’s 2nd game of the series. The Rays trailed 2-1 after 2, but scored 6 unanswered runs in the 3rd and 7th innings. RHP Zack Littell picked up the win (5 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 3 K).

The Yankees have lost 2 of their last 3 games and also lost 2 of their last 3 road games. New York has scored 3 runs or less in each of its last 3 losses.

Yankees at Rays projected starters

RHP Luis Gil vs. LHP Tyler Alexander

Gil (3-1, 2.92 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 1.14 WHIP, 5.8 BB/9 and 11.0 K/9 in 37 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 1 H, 4 BB, 5 K in a 10-3 win vs. the Houston Astros Tuesday
  • Career vs. Tampa Bay: 1-0, 0.00 ERA (5 2/3 IP, 0 ER), 2 H, 3 BB, 9 K in a 1 start

Alexander (1-1, 4.96 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 1.38 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 in 32 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 4 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 7 K in an 8-2 win over the Chicago White Sox Monday
  • Career vs. Yankees: 0-1, 2.03 ERA (13 1/3 IP, 3 ER), 9 H, 3 BB, 13 K in 2 starts and 2 relief appearances

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Yankees at Rays odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:37 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Yankees -142 (bet $142 to win $100) | Rays +120 (bet $100 to win $120)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (+122) | Rays +1.5 (-146)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Yankees at Rays picks and predictions

Prediction

Rays 6, Yankees 4

Moneyline

BET RAYS (+120).

Tampa Bay is 6-2 in its last 8 home games while the Yankees are only 1-2 in their last 3 road games. The Rays are also 3-1 in their last 4 home matchups with New York.

Be aware that the Yankees are 7-3 in their last 10 games.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

I fully expect the Rays to cover here as +1.5 (-146) underdogs, but I like their odds more on the moneyline and I am not a fan of doubling down. Therefore, bet on the moneyline and/or total instead.

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 8.5 (-105).

The Over has hit in 5 of New York’s last 7 games. For Tampa Bay, the Over is 4-2 in its last 6 wins. The Over has also hit in 2 of the last 3 New York-Tampa Bay meetings and the Over is 3-2 in the last 5 meetings in Tampa Bay.

However, the Over is only 5-4-1 in both teams’ last 10 games and is 5-5 in the last 10 NY-TB matchups.

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