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The New York Yankees (26-15) and Tampa Bay Rays (20-20) meet for the finale of a 3-game series Sunday. First pitch from Tropicana Field is set for 1:40 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. Rays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: New York leads 3-2
Tampa Bay routed New York 7-2 while covering as a -102 home favorite in Saturday’s 2nd game of the series. The Rays trailed 2-1 after 2, but scored 6 unanswered runs in the 3rd and 7th innings. RHP Zack Littell picked up the win (5 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 3 K).
The Yankees have lost 2 of their last 3 games and also lost 2 of their last 3 road games. New York has scored 3 runs or less in each of its last 3 losses.
Yankees at Rays projected starters
RHP Luis Gil vs. LHP Tyler Alexander
Gil (3-1, 2.92 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 1.14 WHIP, 5.8 BB/9 and 11.0 K/9 in 37 IP.
- Last start: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 1 H, 4 BB, 5 K in a 10-3 win vs. the Houston Astros Tuesday
- Career vs. Tampa Bay: 1-0, 0.00 ERA (5 2/3 IP, 0 ER), 2 H, 3 BB, 9 K in a 1 start
Alexander (1-1, 4.96 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 1.38 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 in 32 2/3 IP.
- Last start: No-decision, 4 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 7 K in an 8-2 win over the Chicago White Sox Monday
- Career vs. Yankees: 0-1, 2.03 ERA (13 1/3 IP, 3 ER), 9 H, 3 BB, 13 K in 2 starts and 2 relief appearances
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Yankees at Rays odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:37 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Yankees -142 (bet $142 to win $100) | Rays +120 (bet $100 to win $120)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (+122) | Rays +1.5 (-146)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Yankees at Rays picks and predictions
Prediction
Rays 6, Yankees 4
Moneyline
BET RAYS (+120).
Tampa Bay is 6-2 in its last 8 home games while the Yankees are only 1-2 in their last 3 road games. The Rays are also 3-1 in their last 4 home matchups with New York.
Be aware that the Yankees are 7-3 in their last 10 games.
Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
I fully expect the Rays to cover here as +1.5 (-146) underdogs, but I like their odds more on the moneyline and I am not a fan of doubling down. Therefore, bet on the moneyline and/or total instead.
Over/Under
LEAN OVER 8.5 (-105).
The Over has hit in 5 of New York’s last 7 games. For Tampa Bay, the Over is 4-2 in its last 6 wins. The Over has also hit in 2 of the last 3 New York-Tampa Bay meetings and the Over is 3-2 in the last 5 meetings in Tampa Bay.
However, the Over is only 5-4-1 in both teams’ last 10 games and is 5-5 in the last 10 NY-TB matchups.
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