New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Yankees (26-14) and Tampa Bay Rays (19-20) meet Saturday for Game 2 of a 3-game series. First pitch from Tropicana Field is set for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. Rays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: New York leads 3-1

New York picked up the 2-0 win in Friday’s series opener while covering as a -124 road favorite. Each of New York’s runs came thanks to 1B Anthony Rizzo, who hit both a 1-run RBI and a solo HR. RHP Clarke Schmidt was credited with the win as he pitched 6 2/3 innings with 5 H, 0 ER. 2 BB, and 6 K.

Tampa Bay threw 93 strikes to New York’s 87, but the Rays also allowed 9 hits and only struck out 9 batters to New York’s 11 in the loss. The Rays were also held to only 6 hits and 6 total bases Friday as they have now lost back-to-back games.

Yankees at Rays projected starters

LHP Nestor Cortes vs. RHP Zack Littell

Cortes (1-3, 3.72 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 1.03 WHIP, 1.5 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 through 48 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 1/3 IP, 3 H, 2 ER, 1 BB, 9 K in a 5-2 win over the Detroit Tigers Sunday
  • Career vs. Tampa Bay: 2-3, 3.95 ERA (57 IP, 25 ER), 49 H, 13 BB, 50 K across 8 starts and 5 relief appearances

Littell (1-2, 3.00 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 1.31 WHIP, 1.2 BB/9 and 9.7 K/9 through 39 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 6 H, 1 ER, 0 BB, 7 K in a 3-1 win over the New York Mets Saturday
  • Career vs. Yankees: 1-0, 6.00 ERA (6 IP, 4 ER), 4 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 1 start

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Yankees at Rays odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:20 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Yankees -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Rays +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (+140) | Rays +1.5 (-165)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Yankees at Rays picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 3, Rays 2

Moneyline

LEAN YANKEES (-125).  

New York has won back-to-back games and is 2-1 in its last 3 road games. The Yankees have also won consecutive matchups vs. Tampa Bay, being 3-1 in the last 4 matchups overall.

This is only a lean because each team is 5-5 in the last 10 head-to-heads.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS. 

This will likely be a close game, meaning that I like the Rays to cover here as +1.5 (-165) underdogs. However, the line is simply set too heavily to risk betting on, so bet on the moneyline and/or O/U instead.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 8 (-115). 

The Under has hit in back-to-back games for New York and is 4-1 in its last 5 road games. For Tampa Bay, the Under is 3-0 in its last 3 outings. The Under has also hit in 3 of the last 4 New York-Tampa Bay matchups overall and is 2-1 in the last 3 meetings in Tampa Bay.

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