The New York Yankees (58-23) and Pittsburgh Pirates (33-47) meet Wednesday night to cap off a 2-game set. The interleague contest at PNC Park is slated for a 7:05 p.m. ET first pitch. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Yankees vs. Pirates odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Pittsburgh won Tuesday’s game 5-2 and leads 1-0. The teams will meet again for 2 games in New York Sept. 20-21.
After a 2-0 loss at Cleveland, an off day and then Tuesday’s setback at PNC Park, the Yankees have lost 2 straight for just the 2nd time since May 30. New York’s offense has struggled lately, posting a .646 OPS in its last 11 games.
The Pirates allowed a whopping 33 runs over 3 games from June 29-July 1. Pittsburgh hurlers have rallied to yield just 8 R in the last 3 games.
Yankees at Pirates projected starters
RHP Luis Severino vs. RHP Mitch Keller
Severino (4-3, 3.35 ERA) is tabbed for his 15th start. He has a 1.05 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 10.5 K/9 in 78 IP.
- Has given the Yankees 6 innings or more in 6 of his last 7 starts.
- Makes this start on 5 days’ rest which is by far his best interval over his career (2.93 ERA, 1.05 WHIP).
Keller (2-5, 5.14 ERA) owns a 1.53 WHIP, 4.0 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 in 70 IP across 15 games (13 starts).
- Yielded 13 base runners (5 scored) in 4 IP in his last start at the Washington Nationals June 29).
- Has been hurt by a .330 batting average on balls in play.
Yankees at Pirates odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 12:43 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Yankees -205 (bet $205 to win $100) | Pirates +165 (bet $100 to win $165)
- Run line (RL): Yankees -1.5 (-120) | Pirates +1.5 (+100)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -125 | U: +100)
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Yankees at Pirates picks and predictions
Prediction
Yankees 5, Pirates 3
Money line
Too much juice to wade through: PASS.
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Run line/Against the spread
The public has these prices hemmed in pretty good (ie, an accurate line), but despite the Under lean, YANKEES -1.5 (-120) is the closest thing to any value here. Consider a partial-unit play on a club that managed 6.58 runs per game on the road from June 7-July 2.
Over/Under
The UNDER 8.5 (+100) figures to be the strongest play in this contest. Pittsburgh ‘s bullpen figures to have better days ahead and has enough bullets in the chamber after Tuesday’s 5-2 win. Severino is a consistent sort, and this is a scuffling Yankee offense against a bottom-5 one in the Pirates.
Keller gets a lot of ground balls, and the N.Y. offense has struggled against ground-ball types. The Under is 6-1 across the Yanks’ last 7 games.
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