The New York Yankees (38-29) and New York Mets (31-35) clash in a 2-game, mid-June Subway Series starting Tuesday. First pitch at Citi Field is slated for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: First meeting; teams split 4 games a year ago
The Yanks dropped 2 of 3 to the Boston Red Sox over the weekend. A punch-less lineup without OF Aaron Judge (IL-right foot) scored 7 runs in the series and owns a mere .598 OPS since June 6.
The Mets, who like the Yankees were off Monday, are just 1-8 over their last 9 games. They snapped a 7-game losing skid Saturday and are looking to snap a 3-game home losing streak in this contest.
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Yankees at Mets projected starters
RHP Luis Severino vs. RHP Max Scherzer
Severino (0-1, 5.75 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 1.33 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 in 20 1/3 innings.
- Has allowed 6 HR in his last 9 IP over 2 ineffective starts that saw a drop in velocity for the veteran right-hander
- Current Mets batters own a high-contact .833 OPS against him
Scherzer (5-2, 3.71 ERA) makes hius 11 start. He owns a 1.2 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 9.8 K/9 in 53.1 innings.
- Looking to redeem himself after allowing 5 ER in Thursday’s start at Atlanta
- Back at home where he has an 0.50 ERA, 0.78 WHIP in 18 IP this season (1.67 ERA, 0.88 WHIP at Citi Field last season)
Yankees at Mets odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 6:30 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Yankees +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Mets -142 (bet $142 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees +1.5 (-172) | Mets -1.5 (+142)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: +100 | U: -122)
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Yankees at Mets picks and predictions
Prediction
Yankees 4, Mets 3
Moneyline
The Mets are reeling, have the lesser bullpen and head into this game with Scherzer having thrown over 100 pitches in each of his last 3 efforts.
There is some risk in Severino — with his nasty bout of gopher-itis — but the veteran righty has also had stretches where he has looked dominant. He and the Yankee bullpen make for a bit of leverage here.
TAKE THE YANKEES (+120).
Run line/Against the spread
Extra juice here likely keeps the Yankee return too low to have the run line be of use. PASS.
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Over/Under
Factors for and against each quadrant of the runs equation (Yankees for and against, Mets for and against) crisscross over the midline here. Trend lines and some key injuries play into the expected production also. No use is trying to eke out an advantage. PASS.
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