The New York Yankees (50-44) and Los Angeles Angels (46-48) open a 3-game set Monday at Angel Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 9:38 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. Angels odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Yankees lead 2-1
The Yankees lost 8-7 in extra innings as -203 favorites at the Colorado Rockies Sunday. New York scored twice in the top of the 11th for a 7-5 lead, but Rockies LF Nolan Jones tied it in the bottom half with a leadoff 2-run homer (remember a runner starts on 2B in extra innings) and 2B Alan Trejo hit a walk-off HR 2 batters later. The Yankees are tied with the Boston Red Sox for 4th place in the AL East, 9 games behind the division-leading Tampa Bay Rays.
The Angels lost 9-8 as +107 home underdogs vs. the Houston Astros Sunday. Los Angeles blew a 4-run lead after the 7th inning, just a day after coming back from a 6-run deficit for a walk-off 13-12 victory in 10 innings Saturday. The Angels are 4th in the AL West, 9 games back of the division-leading Texas Rangers.
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Yankees at Angels projected starters
RHP Luis Severino vs. RHP Griffin Canning
Severino (1-4, 7.38 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 1.80 WHIP, 4.0 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 through 42 2/3 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 2 2/3 IP, 7 ER, 10 H, 1 BB, 3 K in 14-1 home loss vs. Baltimore Orioles July 6
- Career vs. Angels: 0-1, 3.52 ERA (23 IP, 9 ER), 19 H, 3 HR, 9 BB, 22 K in 4 starts
Canning (6-4, 4.62 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.20 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 in 74 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 2 2/3 IP, 4 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 0 K in 11-4 loss at Los Angeles Dodgers July 7
- Only career start vs. Yankees: No-decision, 5 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 3 BB, 4 K in 3-2, 10-inning road loss
Yankees at Angels odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:56 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Yankees +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Angels -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees +1.5 (-175) | Angels -1.5 (+145)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: +100 | U: -120)
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Yankees at Angels picks and predictions
Prediction
Angels 6, Yankees 5
Moneyline
Both teams are coming off bad losses after blowing late leads. Fortunately for Los Angeles, it has the advantage at starting pitcher and did not have to travel.
The Angels also seem to be improving offensively and are 2nd in MLB over the last 3 contests with 8.67 runs per game.
While Canning is far from being a lock at home (5.12 ERA in 6 starts at Angel Stadium this season), Severino has allowed 7 earned runs in back-to-back starts and is having the worst season of his career.
BET ANGELS (-135).
Run line/Against the spread
Los Angeles’ bullpen has struggled this season (4.34 ERA to rank 23rd in MLB) and can’t be trusted to hold onto multiple-run leads.
New York +1.5 (-175) will likely cover, but there’s no need to pay the higher price on the run line when Angels ML is the better play.
PASS. Bet the ML and/or the total instead.
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Over/Under
The Over is 6-3-1 in New York’s last 10 games and 7-0-1 in Los Angeles’ last 8.
Severino starting for New York, combined with Los Angeles’ bullpen, should create the perfect storm for the Over to hit once again Monday.
BET OVER 9 (+100).
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