New York Yankees at Kansas City Royals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s New York Yankees at Kansas City Royals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Yankees (47-21) visit the Kansas City Royals (39-28) for the middle contest of a 3-game series in Missouri. The opening pitch at Kauffman Stadium is slated for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. Royals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Yankees lead 1-0

New York took Monday’s series opener 4-2 to claim its 6th straight triumph on the road. Over that stretch, Yankee pitchers have combined on a 2.33 ERA and 0.91 WHIP.

Kansas City was held to 6 singles and a double in Monday’s loss. Over their previous 12 home games, the upstart Royals had slashed a fine .303/.353/.512 while earning 9 wins.

Yankees at Royals projected starters

RHP Marcus Stroman vs. RHP Brady Singer

Stroman (5-2, 3.04 ERA) is lined up for his 14th start. He has a 1.24 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9 and 6.9 K/9 in 74 IP.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 4 2/3 IP, 5 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 2 K in 8-5 win vs. Minnesota Twins Thursday
  • Career vs. Royals: 3-1, 3.00 ERA (30 IP, 10 ER), 23 H, 7 BB, 25 K in 5 starts
  • Has benefited from a .248 batting average on balls in play (.146 BABIP with runners in scoring position)

Singer (4-2, 2.76 ERA) is making his 13th start. He has a logged a 1.21 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 in 65 1/3 IP.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 3 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 9 H, 1 BB, 2 K in 4-3 win at Cleveland Guardians Thursday
  • Career vs. Yankees: 0-1, 3.98 ERA (20 1/3 IP, 9 ER), 21 H, 10 BB, 2 K in 4 starts
  • Making just his 2nd Kauffman Stadium start since May 13; since 2022, he has a 3.36 ERA at home (2024: 2.16 ERA, 0.96 WHIP)

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Yankees at Royals odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:34 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Yankees -145 (bet $145 to win $100) | Royals +120 (bet $100 to win $120)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (+105) | Royals +1.5 (-130)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Yankees at Royals picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 7, Royals 5

Moneyline

New York is 11-4 across its last 15 games at Kauffman Stadium and 12-3 over its last 15 games against the Royals overall.

Stroman is a red ‘X’ in the Yankee column, but New York has the superior bullpen and is strong defensively.  And the Yankee starter is solid in slowing down the run game, something KC relies on heavily.

Per ESPN, current NY batters own an aggregate .775 OPS against Singer, and the Kansas City right hander has pitched against a relatively weak slate of offenses thus far. The batting attack he’ll see Tuesday ranks 7th in the league in scoring (4.93 runs per game) and 1st in OPS vs. right-handers (.792).

FanDuel Sportsbook has the better leverage price here: BACK THE YANKEES (-138).

Run line/Against the spread

The RL is a would-be lean on New York, but the return here is a bit light. PASS.

Over/Under

Kansas City home games have a 9-2 Over edge in the club’s last 11.

With some fade to both starting pitchers in this matchup and to a Kansas City bullpen that owns a 4.82 ERA since May 1, the Over is the strongest play  Tuesday.

Both starters yield a lot of ground balls, and both offenses thrive against such pitchers. The weather forecast is calling for a warm evening with a breeze blowing out.

TAKE THE OVER 9 (-120).

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