The New York Yankees (45-42) and Houston Astros (54-35) continue their three-game set Saturday at Minute Maid Park. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Astros vs. Yankees odds with MLB picks and predictions.
New York shut out Houston 4-0 in the first game of the series Friday as the Yankees racked up four doubles and D.J. LeMahieu continued his recent hot streak by hitting 2-for-5 with a double of his own and 2 RBIs.
Season series: Yankees lead 3-1.
RHP Gerrit Cole makes his 18th start for the Yankees. Cole is 8-4 with a 2.91 ERA (105 IP, 34 ER), 0.96 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 11.6 K/9 this year.
- Last outing: No-decision with 3 1/3 IP, 4 ER, 6 H, 3 BB and 6 K in the Yankees’ 10-5 loss to the New York Mets Sunday.
- Cole got a no-decision May 6 against the Astros with a stat line of 7 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 0 BB and 4 K in New York’s 7-4 loss.
- vs. Astros on the current roster: 55 at-bats with a .236/.241/.400 slash line, 12/0 K/BB, 2 HR and 5 RBIs.
RHP Zack Greinke takes the hill for the Astros. Greinke is 8-2 with a 3.64 ERA (111 1/3 IP, 45 ER), 1.12 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 6.6 K/9 across 18 starts.
- Last outing: No-decision with 7 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 1 BB and 8 K in Houston’s 4-3 win Sunday at the Cleveland Indians.
- Greinke also picked up a no-decision May 4 at the Yankees with 4 IP, 3 ER, 3 H, 4 BB and 4 K in Houston’s 7-3 loss.
- vs. Yankees on the current roster: 167 at-bats with a .251/.309/.401 slash line, 44/13 K/BB, 5 HR and 17 RBIs.
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Yankees at Astros odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 1:23 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Yankees -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Astros -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Yankees -1.5 (+150) | Astros +1.5 (-185)
- Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
Prediction
Yankees 5, Astros 2
Money line (ML)
TAKE the YANKEES (-110) for 1 unit because this should be a get-right start for Cole and New York is getting some “sharp” action as they opened as a slight ‘dog at +100 before being steamed up to the current number.
The Yankees have four wins in their last five games and are starting to play their way out of a funk that’s led them to fall nine games behind the Boston Red Sox in the AL East standings.
Houston has the best lineup in baseball but if Cole can turn the game over to the bullpen with a lead or a tie then New York’s heavy edge in relief pitching should surface.
For instance, New York’s bullpen ranks in the top 10 of several advanced pitching categories including xFIP, SIERA, K-BB%, WAR, hard-hit rate and exit velocity.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
PASS because I wouldn’t play either run line given the price points and starters on the mound. It’s hard to find a big enough edge between these two sides to justify a run line play.
Over/Under (O/U)
Slight “LEAN” to the OVER 8.5 (-105) for a quarter unit – if at all – because I much prefer the New York side more than the total in Yankees-Astros.
However, the Over has cashed in five of Cole’s past six starts, in Greinke’s last eight home starts, and Houston is 13-5 O/U this season when Greinke takes the mound.
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