The New York Yankees (7-4) wrap up a 3-game road series against the Cleveland Guardians (7-5) Wednesday. First pitch at Progressive Field is scheduled for 1:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. Guardians odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Series tied 1-1. New York won the regular-season series 5-1 in 2022 before eliminating Cleveland 3-2 in an AL Division Series.
The Yankees fell behind 2-0 in the 1st inning Tuesday but rolled up 11 unanswered runs in the final 8 innings to level the series at a game apiece. OF Franchy Cordero had the big blow with a 3-run homer in the top of the 3rd inning to open the floodgates.
The Guardians got to RHP Gerrit Cole quickly but the team grabbing the early 2-0 lead ended up never scoring again and losing for the 2nd consecutive day.
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Yankees at Guardians projected starters
RHP Clarke Schmidt vs. RHP Peyton Battenfield
Schmidt (0-0, 9.45 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 2.10 WHIP, 5.4 BB/9 and 10.8 K/9 through 6 2/3 IP.
- Allowed 4 ER on 5 H and 3 BB with 3 K in just 3 1/3 IP in his first road start of the season at the Baltimore Orioles Friday
- Faced the Guardians Sept. 19, 2021, allowing 3 R (2 ER) on 5 H and 2 BB with 4 K in 2 IP of relief at Yankee Stadium
Battenfield makes his major league debut. He allowed 3 R (2 ER) on 3 H and 1 BB with 3 K across 5 IP in his lone start with Triple-A Columbus this season.
- Allowed 2 R (1 ER) on 1 H with 3 BB and 4 K across 5 IP in 3 Cactus League spring appearances
- Went 8-6 with a 3.63 ERA with a 1.27 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9, 6.4 K/9 across 153 2/3 IP in 28 starts for Columbus in 2022
Yankees at Guardians odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:52 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Yankees -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Guardians -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (+130) | Guardians +1.5 (-160)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Yankees at Guardians picks and predictions
Prediction
Guardians 7, Yankees 5
Moneyline
The GUARDIANS (-110) are worth playing at home in the finale.
The Yankees have a pitcher who has been very giving so far this season and the Guardians have a pitcher making his major league debut. This could be a game with a lot of fireworks and plenty of hitting, so fasten your seat belt.
Run line/Against the spread
The GUARDIANS +1.5 (-160) are worth a look if you want a little insurance, as they’re not priced out of line.
It’s hard to bet on either of these sides really, as Schmidt has been hammered in his 2 shortened starts and the Guardians are rolling out a guy who has never toed the slab in the majors. Whatever you decide, go lightly on the side.
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Over/Under
OVER 9.5 (-105) is a big number, but it’s still worth pursuing.
The Yankees took care of the Over on their own Tuesday night. We’ll get a stiff wind blowing 12-15 mph from left to right field, aiding left-handed batters against both Schmidt and Battenfield. We could get some runs quickly.
The Over is 6-2-1 in the past 9 games overall for the Guardians and 4-1 in their past 5 vs. righties.
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