The New York Yankees (27-20) and Cincinnati Reds (19-25) meet Saturday afternoon for the middle contest of a 3-game series. The first pitch at Great American Ball Park is slated for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. Reds odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Yankees lead 1-0
New York took Friday’s series opener 6-2. The Yanks are 9-3 over their last 12 games. That stretch includes 8 games against quality foes Tampa Bay and Toronto.
Cincinnati has lost 4 of its last 5. The Reds have hit just 2 home runs over that stretch.
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Yankees at Reds projected starters
RHP Jhony Brito vs. RHP Luke Weaver
Brito (3-3, 5.20 ERA) is lined up for his 9th start. He has posted a 1.43 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 5.9 K/9 through 36 1/3 IP across 9 games (8 starts).
- Owns a 4.50 ERA, 1.32 WHIP on the road
- This slot is listed as TBD, but Brito figures to be the top choice for manager Aaron Boone. He threw 71 pitches in a bulk relief role Monday.
Weaver (1-2, 6.26 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.46 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 through 27 1/3 IP.
- Owns a 5.68 ERA over his last 180 2/3 IP (2020-23)
- Has been ripped by hard (44%) and barreled-up (13.1%) contact this season
- Coming off his best outing of 2023, allowing 1R in 5 1/3 IP at Miami Sunday; threw 106 pitches in that game
Yankees at Reds odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:30 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Yankees -154 (bet $154 to win $100) | Reds +130 (bet $100 to win $130)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (-102) | Reds +1.5 (-118)
- Over/Under (O/U): 10.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Yankees at Reds picks and predictions
Prediction
Yankees 7, Reds 4
Moneyline
Momentum is on the side of the visiting nine. New York does not have its best foot forward on the mound, but Cincinnati’s run allowance and the Yankees’ power give New York a lean.
A bit more leverage can be gained on the Run Line, but consider circling back if the ML price hits -145.
PASS.
Run line/Against the spread
This month, Cincinnati has 5 losses by margins of 4-or-more runs. On a breeze-blowing-out-to-right afternoon, look for the more powerful Yankees to be a decent option to get by with a cushion. Much of the Yankee bullpen is in fatigue-danger territory, but top firemen Clay Holmes and Michael King are available and can help protect a late lead.
TAKE YANKEES -1.5 (-102).
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Over/Under
Pitching, weather, and recent Yankee batting (high-contact .847 OPS since May 7) make the lean toward a high score. Would want a discount at 10.5 runs, though.
PASS.
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