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The Baltimore Orioles (57-36) welcome the New York Yankees (56-39) to Oriole Park at Camden Yards to kick off a 3-game series Friday. First pitch is set for 7:05 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. Orioles odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Orioles lead 5-2
The Orioles, who sit atop the AL East with the Yankees 2nd in the division, were swept by the Chicago Cubs in their last series, losing Thursday’s finale 8-0. Baltimore has lost 4 of its last 5 games. It has also lost 4 straight at home after winning 4 straight at home. The Orioles are 29-20 at home on the season and 51-42 against the spread (ATS).
The Yankees, who are 31-20 on the road, lost to the Tampa Bay Rays 5-4 Thursday and dropped 2 of 3 in that road series. They have struggled immensely as of late, losing 7 of their last 9 games and scoring more than 4 runs in just 1 of those 9. New York is 50-45 ATS on the season, having gone just 2-7 ATS over their last 9.
Yankees at Orioles projected starters
RHP Gerrit Cole vs. LHP Cade Povich
Cole (1-1, 6.75 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 1.62 WHIP, 4.2 BB/9 and x9.9x K/9 in 17 1/3 IP.
- Last start: No-decision, 4 1/3 IP, 4 ER (4 R), 7 H, 2 BB, 8 K in 14-4 home win over the Boston Red Sox Saturday
- 2024 away splits: 1-1, 7.00 ERA (9 IP, 7 ER), 1.67 WHIP, 4 HR, 6.0 K/9 in 2 starts
- Career vs. Orioles: 5-3, 2.64 ERA (81 2/3 IP, 24 ER), 62 H, 6 HR, 15 BB, 98 K in 13 starts
Povich (1-3, 6.51 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.48 WHIP, 4.2 BB/9 and 5.9 K/9 in 27 2/3 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 1 IP, 8 ER (8 R), 5 H, 3 BB, 1 K in 19-8 road loss to the Oakland A’s Saturday
- 2024 home splits: 1-1, 2.70 ERA (16 2/3 IP, 5 ER), 1.08 WHIP, 3 HR, 7.6 K/9 in 3 starts
- Career vs. Yankees: 0-1, 1.93 ERA (4 2/3 IP, 1 ER), 1 H, 0 HR, 5 BB, 1 K in 1 start, a 7-6 extra innings road win over New York on June 19
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Yankees at Orioles odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:35 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Yankees -126 (bet $126 to win $100) | Orioles +108 (bet $100 to win $108)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (+126) | Orioles +1.5 (-152)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -108 | U: -112)
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Yankees at Orioles picks and predictions
Prediction
Yankees 5, Orioles 3
Moneyline
BET YANKEES (-126).
The Yankees have an ace on the mound, and while Cole has struggled to start the season, the expectation is that he’ll rebound to his old self. Couple that with the Yankees, at 31-20, being among the best road teams in the majors, and they’re a strong play here. New York is 12-9 over its last 21 on the road and have won its last 2 starts with Cole on the mound.
The Orioles are 1-2 in Povich’s last 3 starts and have lost 3 straight games. They lost those games a combined 2-21, so they weren’t close battles either. Expect those struggles to continue and back YANKEES (-126).
Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
The Yankees are too risky as a run-line favorite while the Orioles are too pricey as a home, run-line underdog. Avoid this play and back the moneyline.
Over/Under
BET UNDER 9 (-112).
The Orioles have gone Under in 2 straight games and have scored 2 or fewer runs in 3 straight. Their offensive struggles come at a bad time with the Yankees having allowed just 5 total runs in Cole’s last 2 starts.
The Yankees are 1-2-1 O/U in their last 4 games, scoring 4 or fewer in 3 straight and allowing 4 or fewer in 3 of their last 5. Given both teams offensive slowdowns, back UNDER 9 (-112).
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