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The New York Mets (40-41) open an 8-game road trip on Monday with the 1st game of 4-game series against the Washington Nationals (39-44). First pitch Nationals Park is at 6:45 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mets vs. Nationals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Mets lead 3-0
The Mets enter the series having won 12 of their last 16 games, but have lost their last 2 games, dropping their home series to the Houston Astros. They lost the finale on Sunday 10-5 as favorites (-119) with the Over (9) cashing in.
The Nationals have lost 5 of their last 6 games. They lost the finale of their road series against the Tampa Bay Rays on Sunday, getting shut out 5-0. The Under (8) cashed in.
Mets at Nationals projected starters
LHP David Peterson vs. LHP MacKenzie Gore
Peterson (3-0, 3.67 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.48 WHIP, 4.3 BB/9 and 6.7 K/9 in 27 IP.
- Last start: No decision, 4 1/3 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 5 BB, 8 K in 9-7 home win over New York Yankees on Tuesday
- Allowed 2 ER in 6 2/3 IP in 6-3 road win over Nationals on June 4
- Is 4-1 with 3.53 ERA in 10 career appearances (7 starts) vs. Nationals
Gore (6-7, 3.60 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 1.39 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 10.5 K/9 in 85 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 5 ER, 5 H, 3 BB, 1 K in 9-7 road loss to San Diego Padres on Tuesday
- Took the loss and allowed 6 ER in 4 1/3 IP in 8-7 defeat to Mets on June 3
- Is 1-2 with 4.66 ERA in 4 career starts vs. Mets
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Mets at Nationals odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:56 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Mets -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Nationals -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets -1.5 (+145) | Nationals +1.5 (-175)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Mets at Nationals picks and predictions
Prediction
Mets 6, Nationals 4
Moneyline
The Mets have averaged 7.3 runs a game over their last 6 and have scored 5 or more in every game. They scored 23 runs in a 3-game sweep in Washington June 3-5. They are 19-16 on the road while Washington is 17-19 at home.
The Nationals have lost 5 of their last 6 and Gore has allowed 9 combined runs in his last 2 starts (10 IP).
BET METS (-115).
Run line/Against the spread
You have a great opportunity to ladder the moneyline with the run line with nice plus odds.
The Mets are 20-14 ATS on the road this season, although the Nationals are 20-16 ATS at home.
Two of the Mets’ 3 wins over the Nationals June were by more than 2 runs. Their last 5 wins and 8 of their last 9 have been by multiple runs.
Washington’s last 4 losses and 10 of their last 12 have been by 2 or more runs.
BET METS -1.5 (+145).
Over/Under
All 3 of their meetings have had at least 9 total runs. Six of the Nationals’ last 8 games have reached at least 9 total runs while the Mets’ last 5 games and 11 of their last 12 have at at least 8 total runs.
BET OVER 8 (-115).
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