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The New York Mets (34-37) and Texas Rangers (33-39) meet Tuesday as they continue a 3-game series in Arlington. First pitch at Globe Life Field will be at 8:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mets vs. Rangers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Mets lead 1-0
The Mets scored in 5 runs in the game’s 1st 6 innings, banged out 22 hits and routed the Rangers 14-2 in Monday’s series opener. New York has won 6 straight games; it has tallied 25 runs over the last 2 days.
Texas dropped its 4th straight game. The Rangers have scored just 2.92 runs per game on a .569 OPS in going 4-9 since June 3.
Mets at Rangers projected starters
RHP Luis Severino vs. RHP Michael Lorenzen
Severino (4-2, 3.12 ERA) is lined up for his 14th start. He has a 1.18 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 6.9 K/9 in 78 IP.
- Last outing: No-decision, 6 IP, 1 ER, 7 H, 3 BB, 2 K in 3-2 win vs. Miami Marlins Thursday
- Career vs. Rangers: 2-2, 2.89 ERA (28 IP, 9 ER), 16 H, 12 BB, 28 K in 6 games (5 starts)
- Has benefited from a .255 batting average on balls in play
Lorenzen (4-3, 2.86 ERA) is making his 12th start. He has a 1.18 WHIP, 4.0 BB/9 and 6.4 K/9 in 66 IP.
- Last outing: Win, 7 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 2 K in 3-1 win at Los Angeles Dodgers Thursday
- Career vs. Mets: 2-1, 2.29 ERA (35 1/3 IP, 9 ER), 29 H, 9 BB, 23 K in 15 games (3 starts)
- Has been aided by a .232 BABIP
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Mets at Rangers odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:16 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Mets -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Rangers -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets -1.5 (+150) | Rangers +1.5 (-185)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Mets at Rangers picks and predictions
Prediction
Mets 6, Rangers 4
Moneyline
PASS: Better profit potential for this game exists elsewhere in the offerings.
Run line/Against the spread
On the road, the Mets are 19-11 against the RL; at home, the Rangers are 14-20 in the same measure.
New York played .321 ball in May (9-19), but they have sandwiched strong play around that nosedive. This month, the Mets are 10-4 with a plus-29 run differential.
There is plenty of fade ammunition for each starting pitcher in this tilt, and the Over is the top play. But the price on the Mets here is attractive.
BACK THE METS -1.5 (+150).
Over/Under
The Over in New York road games is 20-8-2.
The Mets offense has been good on the road all season and has been cranked up everywhere of late.
The low starter BABIPs feed into a significant lean toward the bats in this one. And a struggling Texas offense can point to a low BABIP of its own as part of the reason for its slide (.247 BABIP this month).
BET THE OVER 8.5 (-105).
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