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The New York Mets (55-66) open a 4-game series against the St. Louis Cardinals (54-67) on Thursday at Busch Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mets vs. Cardinals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Cardinals lead 2-1
The Mets defeated the Pittsburgh Pirates 8-3 Wednesday, their 3rd win in their last 4 games. New York is in 4th place in the NL East, 23 1/2 games back of the Atlanta Braves.
The Cardinals were blanked 8-0 by the Oakland Athletics on Wednesday, snapping a 3-game win streak. St. Louis is in 4th place in the NL Central, 11 games behind the Milwaukee Brewers for 1st place.
Mets at Cardinals projected starters
LHP Jose Quintana vs. RHP Adam Wainwright
Quintana (0-4, 3.03 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.28 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 6.1 K/9 through 29 2/3 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 3 BB, 4 K in 6-0 home loss to the Braves Saturday
- 2023 road stats: 0-2, 3.38 ERA (18 2/3 IP, 7 ER) in 3 starts
- Career vs. Cardinals: 5-4, 4.42 ERA (59 IP, 29 ER) over 12 starts
Wainwright (3-7, 8.78 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 2.09 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 5.3 K/9 through 66 2/3 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 1 IP, 8 ER, 9 H, 0 BB, 0 K in a 12-8 road loss to the Kansas City Royals Friday
- 2023 home stats: 1-5, 9.26 ERA (35 IP, 36 ER) in 8 starts.
- Career vs. Mets: 8-6, 4.58 ERA (92 1/3 IP, 47 ER) in 15 starts and 2 relief appearances
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Mets at Cardinals odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:57 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Mets -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Cardinals +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets -1.5 (+125) | Cardinals +1.5 (-155)
- Over/Under (O/U): 10.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Mets at Cardinals picks and predictions
Prediction
Mets 7, Cardinals 4
Moneyline
I’ll back the METS (-125) on the road in this matchup. Quintana has been solid in his first 5 starts, but he hasn’t gotten run support in his last 2 outings — that should change against Wainwright.
Run line/Against the spread
METS -1.5 (+120) has fantastic value with Wainwright getting the nod for the Cardinals. S. Louis has lost by at least 4 runs in 6 of Wainwright’s last 7 starts.
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Over/Under
LEAN OVER 10.5 (-115).
The Cardinals boast the 10th-best wOBA (.331) and wRC+ (111) against left-handed pitching this season. Meanwhile, Wainwright has given up 4 earned runs or more in 6 of his last 7 starts.
The Mets have also hit the Over in 4 of their last 6 road games.
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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