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The New York Mets (61-56) visit the Seattle Mariners (62-56) Sunday. First pitch from T-Mobile Park is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mets vs. Marlins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Mariners lead 2-0
The Mets have lost back-to-back games after falling 4-0 to the Mariners Saturday as +117 road underdogs. SS Francisco Lindor had 2 of New York’s 4 hits, but the team was unable to stimulate any offense. LHP Sean Manaea allowed 3 ER in 3 innings to pick up the loss.
The Mariners have won 3 games in a row after Saturday’s victory as -126 home favorites. 2B Justin Turner led the way on offense with 2 RBIs, while RHP Logan Gilbert allowed 0 ER in 7 innings.
Mets at Mariners projected starters
RHP Luis Severino vs. RHP Luis Castillo
Severino (7-5, 4.06 ERA) makes his 23rd start. He has a 1.25 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 7.1 K/9 through 128 2/3 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 4 ER, 8 H, 0 BB, 5 K in 6-3 setback at Colorado Rockies Tuesday
- Career vs. Mariners: 2-1, 3.44 ERA (18 1/3 IP, 7 ER), 24 H, 3 BB, 13 K in 3 starts — last outing in 2018
Castillo (9-11, 3.48 ERA) makes his 25th start. He has a 1.17 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 through 142 1/3 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 3 ER, 8 H, 0 BB, 9 K in 4-2 home defeat against Detroit Tigers Tuesday
- Career vs. Mets: 1-1, 4.44 ERA (24 1/3 IP, 12 ER), 19 H, 6 BB, 23 K in 4 starts — last outing in 2023
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Mets at Mariners odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:10 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Mets +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Mariners -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets +1.5 (-200) | Mariners -1.5 (+165)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Mets at Mariners picks and predictions
Prediction
Mariners 4, Mets 3
Moneyline
BET MARINERS (-135).
Seattle has won 6 of its last 10 games, including each of its last 3. It has scored 4 or more runs in each of those 6 games while allowing 0 runs in 2 straight. New York has dropped 6 of its last 10 contests, including 3 of its last 5. It has scored 3 or fewer runs in 5 of its last 10 games.
Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
The moneyline is the better wager in this matchup.
Over/Under
LEAN UNDER 7.5 (-115).
The Mets have failed to hit the Over in 9 of their last 10 games and been shutout in 2 straight. They have scored 3 or fewer runs in 4 of their last 7 contests while allowing 4 or fewer in 6 of their last 9. The Mariners have hit the Under in each of their last 3 games while allowing 4 or fewer runs in 6 of their last 9.
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