The New York Mets (19-9) and Philadelphia Phillies (11-15) meet Friday at Citizens Bank Park in the second game of a 4-game set. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Mets vs. Phillies odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Mets lead 5-2.
The Mets won Thursday’s opener 8-7, turning the tide on what had been a slip with the bats over the last couple of weeks. New York had registered a .678 OPS over its previous 13 games.
The Phillies are now 1-5 in 1-run games. They head into Friday’s game — one that could be affected by weather with a 75% chance of rain, strong winds — looking to snap a 4-game losing streak.
Mets at Phillies projected starters
RHP Max Scherzer vs. RHP Kyle Gibson
Scherzer (4-0, 2.61 ERA) is tabbed for his fifth start of 2022. He has a 0.81 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 12.2 K/9 through 31 IP.
- Was touched up for 3 HR, 4 runs total, in his last start Sunday against the Phillies.
- Has held current Philly batters to an aggregate .601 OPS.
Gibson (2-1, 2.93 ERA) has registered a 1.08 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9, and 8.5 K/9 through 27 2/3 IP in 5 starts.
- Went 4 1/3 IP allowing 1 ER but walking 5 in Saturday’s start against the Mets.
- Has held current Mets batters to an aggregate .655 OPS in past meetings.
Mets at Phillies odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 9:14 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Mets -155 (bet $155 to win $100) | Phillies +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
- Run line (RL): Mets -1.5 (+115) | Phillies +1.5 (-140)
- Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: -140 | U: +112)
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Mets at Phillies picks and predictions
Prediction
Mets 5, Phillies 4
Money line
Look for Scherzer to bounce back after yielding 3 round-trippers in his last start. And New York’s power-arm bullpen is flying under the radar so far.
TAKE THE METS (-155).
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Run line/Against the spread
PASS. The Mets are a lean, but the Philly bullpen may be in better shape for this contest.
Over/Under
The teams have combined for 31 runs in the last 2 games. Both teams are at their best against right-handed pitching, and both sets of batters have some solid familiarity with most of the bullpen repertoires after 7 games.
Both Scherzer and Gibson make for fade leans due to some favorable rates around the margins (balls in play, home run rates, etc.). Possible weather delays could monkey around with the pitching plans for both sides and get some front-of-the-pen types on the mound in the middle innings.
CONSIDER THE OVER 6.5 (-140). An alternate total line (7.5 +115) could also be in the mix or used as the primary Over play for aggressive bettors.
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