The New York Mets (42-36) face the New York Yankees (41-40) for Game 1 of their seven-inning doubleheader Sunday at Yankee Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 2:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Mets vs. Yankees odds with MLB picks and predictions.
The Mets beat the Yankees 8-3 in the first game of the series Saturday with their one through three hitters (CF Brandon Nimmo, SS Francisco Lindor and 1B Dominic Smith) batting a combined 8-for-15 with four RBIs.
Season series: Mets lead 1-0.
RHP Marcus Stroman takes the mound for the Mets. Stroman is 6-6 with a 2.45 ERA (88 1/3 IP, 24 ER), 1.11 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 7.9 across 16 starts.
- Last outing: Loss, 4-2, with 3 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 3 BB and 3 K last Sunday vs. the Philadelphia Phillies.
- vs. Yankees on the current roster: 120 at-bats with a .292/.370/.492 slash line, 25/15 K/BB, 6 HR and 17 RBIs.
RHP Gerrit Cole is on the rubber for the Yankees. Cole is 8-4 with a 2.66 ERA (101 2/3 IP, 30 ER), 0.91 WHIP, 1.5 BB/9 and 11.4 K/9 over 16 starts.
- Last outing: Loss, 9-2, with 5 IP, 5 ER, 8 H, 2 BB and 6 K last Sunday at the Boston Red Sox.
- vs. Mets on the current roster: 73 at-bats with a .247/.276/.466 slash line, 21/3 K/BB, 4 HR and 9 RBIs.
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Mets at Yankees odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:20 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Mets +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Yankees -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Mets +1.5 (-160) | Yankees -1.5 (+135)
- Over/Under: 6 (O: -105 | U: -115)
Prediction
Yankees 4, Mets 2
Money line (ML)
“LEAN” to the YANKEES (-175) for a half unit because of the expectation that Cole will have a bounce-back performance after his worst outing of the season in Boston his last time out.
New York is sliding further and further back in the AL East standings and the Yankees need their ace to get them back on track. New York has lost six of its last seven games heading into next weekend’s All-Star break.
Both lineups have been severely disappointing thus far but the Yankees’ struggles at the plate have been more publicized since they came into this season in a win-now mode and the World Series odds to back that up.
However, the Yankees hitters do have a higher WAR, wRC+, wOBA, BB/K rate and hard-hit rate than the Mets.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
PASS because the Yankees -1.5 (+135) will have two less innings to win by two or more runs and they are just 14-27 ATS as a home favorite this season while the Mets +1.5 (-160) are 15-7 ATS as a road underdog.
Over/Under (O/U)
Slight “LEAN” to the OVER 6 (-105) for a one-third unit because each starters’ pitching peripherals are as surprisingly bad as their basic numbers against their respective opponents and the Over is 3-0-1 in the last four Mets-Yankees meetings.
That being said, it’s only a “lean” because Cole is still a Cy Young contender despite a couple of recent rough outings and Stroman is a “top of the rotation” starter as well.
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