The New York Mets (93-55) and Milwaukee Brewers (76-68) open a 3-game series Monday. First pitch from American Family Field is at 7:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Mets vs. Brewers odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: New York leads 2-1
The Mets are coming off a 4-game sweep of the Pittsburgh Pirates to wrap up a 7-game home stand at 4-3. New York now finds itself on the road where recent weeks have netted a mixed bag of results. The Mets are 8-8 over their last 16 games away from Citi Field; they’ve registered a sub-par 4.76 ERA over that stretch.
The Brewers are fresh off taking 2 of 3 games from New York’s American League entry over the weekend. Milwaukee downed the Yankees 7-6 Friday and 4-1 Saturday before dropping a 12-8 slugfest Sunday.
The Brewers’ offense has come alive of late, and the club has played quite well in its home park. Milwaukee owns a .750 OPS over its last 22 games. The Brewers have logged a fine .801 OPS while going 10-3 over their last 13 games at home.
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Mets at Brewers projected starters
RHP Max Scherzer vs. RHP Corbin Burnes
Scherzer (9-4, 2.26 ERA) has authored a 0.92 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 10.8 K/9 through 127 2/3 IP across 20 starts.
- Coming off the 15-day IL (oblique) for this start; last pitched Sept. 3 against the Washington Nationals with 1 ER allowed across 5 IP
- Owns a 4.58 ERA over his last 3 road starts
Burnes (10-7, 2.97 ERA) is tabbed for his 30th start. He has a 0.98 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 11.0 K/9 through 179 IP.
- Has logged a 1.93 ERA over 3 starts against New York (2021-22)
- Owns a 5.34 ERA over his last 5 starts
Mets at Brewers odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:02 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Mets -108 (bet $108 to win $100) | Brewers -112 (bet $112 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets -1.5 (+160) | Brewers +1.5 (-200)
- Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: -130 | U: +105)
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Mets at Brewers picks and predictions
Prediction
Brewers 4, Mets 3
Money line
The venue and Scherzer coming off the shelf are keys here. Burnes has held current New York batters to a whiff-heavy .621 OPS.
The Mets have lost 3 road-series openers in a row. They are 4-6 over their last 10 road games against over-.500 foes.
BACK THE BREWERS (-112).
Run line/Against the spread
AVOID. Milwaukee is the lean in principle, but the juice wipes out any value potential.
Over/Under
Can’t parse any expected-vs.-actual results value here: PASS.
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