The New York Mets (26-25) open a 3-game series against the Colorado Rockies (22-29) Friday. First pitch is 8:40 p.m. ET at Coors Field. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mets vs. Rockies odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Rockies lead 2-1
The Mets avoided a 3-game sweep against the Chicago Cubs in the first leg of a 6-game road trip, winning the finale on Thursday 10-1. New York has won 6 of its last 8 games.
The Rockies took 3 of 4 games from the Miami Marlins to start the week. Colorado won the series finale 7-6 on Thursday with a walk-off single by SS Ezequiel Tovar.
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Mets at Rockies projected starters
RHP Max Scherzer vs. RHP Connor Seabold
Scherzer (3-2, 4.01 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 1.19 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 through 33 2/3 IP.
- Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 0 R, 3 H, 1 BB, 5 K, in a 5-4 home win vs. Cleveland Guardians Sunday
- Has allowed 1 or 0 runs in 4 of his last 5 starts
Seabold (1-1, 5.97 ERA) makes his 5th start and 12th appearance. He has a 1.64 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 7.1 K/9 through 31 2/3 IP.
- As starter: 1-1, 6.50 ERA, 1.72 WHIP over 18 IP across 4 games
- Last start: Loss, 3 2/3 IP, 5 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 5 K, in 13-3 road loss vs. Texas Rangers Sunday
Mets at Rockies odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:45 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Mets -210 (bet $210 to win $100) | Rockies +170 (bet $100 to win $170)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets -2.5 (+105) | Rockies +2.5 (-125)
- Over/Under (O/U): 11 (O: -120 | U: +100)
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Mets at Rockies picks and predictions
Prediction
Mets 4, Rockies 3
Moneyline
The Mets dropped 2 of 3 to the Cubs in the first leg of their road trip but those are the only 2 losses in their last 8 games. They are 14-16 on the road this season. The Rockies have won 6 of their last 8 home games.
Scherzer has allowed only 7 runs in his last 5 starts and 6 came in one game, while Seabold’s ERA as a starter is 6.50.
However, the odds on the Mets (-210) to win are too steep and there is better value to be found against the spread or with the total.
Run line/Against the spread
The Mets blew out the Cubs in their finale on Thursday but are only 3-19 ATS in their last 22 games and their 5 wins before Thursday were by only 1 run.
Eight of New York’s last 10 wins have been by 1 run, and to cover tonight they would have to win by 3.
BET ROCKIES +2.5 (-125).
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Over/Under
None of Scherzer’s starts this season has had a total higher than 10 runs, but all 4 of Seabold’s starts have had a total of at least 11.
Four of the Rockies’ last 6 games have had more than 11 total runs, but only 1 of the Mets’ last 7 games has had more than 11 total runs.
BET UNDER 11 (+100).
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