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The New York Mets (45-51) and Boston Red Sox (51-46) play the 2nd game of a 3-game set Saturday at Fenway Park. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET (FS1). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mets vs. Red Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
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Season series: Second meeting of 2023; Series opener was suspended in the bottom of the 4th inning Friday and resumes Saturday at 2:10 p.m. ET
Originally, this game was to be played at 4:10 p.m. ET, but first pitch was moved to 7:10 p.m. ET due to Friday’s suspension.
Prior to Friday’s suspended game, the Mets had won 3 of the past 4 games, while cashing the Under at a 6-1-1 clip across the previous 8 outings.
Prior to Friday’s suspended game, the Red Sox were 11-4 in the previous 15 games dating back to June 30. The Over was 6-3-1 in the past 10 outings.
Heading into this series Friday, the Mets were 12-11 in interleague play in 2023, while the Red Sox were a dismal 13-19 against the National League.
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Mets at Red Sox projected starters
RHP Max Scherzer vs. LHP James Paxton
Scherzer (8-3, 3.99 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 1.18 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 10.2 K/9 in 94 2/3 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 7 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 3 BB, 6 K in a 2-1 home win in 10 innings vs. the Los Angeles Dodgers Sunday
- 2023 road splits: 6-3, 4.92 ERA (60 1/3 IP, 33 ER – 15 HR), .262 opponent batting average (OBA) in 11 starts
Paxton (5-2, 3.51 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.03 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 10.4 K/9 in 59 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 3 IP, 6 ER, 3 H, 3 BB, 4 K in a 10-4 road loss vs. the Chicago Cubs last Saturday
- 2023 home splits: 1-0, 2.05 ERA (22 IP, 5 ER – 3 HR), .214 OBA in 4 starts
Mets at Red Sox odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:12 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Mets +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Red Sox -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets -1.5 (+155) | Red Sox +1.5 (-190)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: +100 | U: -120)
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Mets at Red Sox picks and predictions
Prediction
Red Sox 4, Mets 3
Moneyline
The RED SOX (-120) are worth a look at home with the southpaw Paxton on the bump.
While the Mets (+100) have been hot, Scherzer has been rather tepid on the road. The righty is just 6-3 with a 4.92 ERA on the road, while Paxton has been strong at home. Boston has won 5 in a row at home, too. Back the AL side to get the win in the 2nd game of this series.
Run line/Against the spread
The Red Sox +1.5 (-190) are too pricey if you just can’t trust Boston straight up and you would prefer some insurance instead.
AVOID, and just play Boston straight up for a better value.
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Over/Under
UNDER 9.5 (-120) might be the best play on the board.
While Scherzer has struggled on the road, he has still allowed 2 or fewer runs in 4 of his last 6 outings overall. The Under is 3-1-1 in his past 5 starts, too.
Meanwhile, the southpaw Paxton has yielded 3 or fewer runs in 7 of his past 8 outings. The Under is 2-1 in his past 3 home starts, too.
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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