New York Mets at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s New York Mets at Boston Red Sox odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The New York Mets (45-51) will begin a 3-game series against the Boston Red Sox (51-46) on Friday at Fenway Park. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mets vs. Red Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting since Red Sox swept 4 games in 2021

The Mets lost to the Chicago White Sox 6-2 on Thursday, which snapped a 3-game winning streak. New York is 17 1/2 games back of the 1st-place Atlanta Braves in the NL East.

The Red Sox were defeated 6-5 on Wednesday by the Oakland Athletics. Boston has still gone 7-3 in its last 10 games and is in 4th place, 8 1/2 games behind the Baltimore Orioles atop the AL East.

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Mets at Red Sox projected starters

RHP Kodai Senga vs. RHP Kutter Crawford

Senga (7-5, 3.20 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 1.27 WHIP, 4.6 BB/9 and 11.5 K/9 in 95 2/3 innings.

  • Has walked multiple batters in 13 of his 17 starts
  • Has tallied 6 or more strikeouts in 14 of his 17 starts

Crawford (4-4, 3.74 ERA) makes his 11th start. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 in 67 1/3 innings.

  • Has recorded 5 or more strikeouts in 4 of his last 6 starts
  • Red Sox have won his 3 straight starts

Mets at Red Sox odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:30 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mets +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Red Sox -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets +1.5 (-190) | Red Sox -1.5 (+155)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Mets at Red Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Red Sox 5, Mets 4

Moneyline

With the Mets still failing show any consistency, I’ll back the RED SOX (-120) at home on Friday. The Mets are 22-29 on the road while the Red Sox are 26-22 at home. Also, Boston has won 17 of its last 28 games.

Run line/Against the spread

Crawford has pitched better in recent starts, but I’ll PASS on the run line in this game as the Mets should keep it close.

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Over/Under

UNDER 9.5 (-110) is the lean in this game despite Senga’s walk issues and Crawford’s inconsistent pitching. The Mets are 7-2-1 to the Over in their last 10 games overall while the Red Sox have gone Under in 30 of their last 53 games overall.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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